New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 10/17/24

In this article we will formulate a New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, October 17th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game three in the ALCS, we will examine:

• The Yankees recent form and recent player performance 
• The Guardians recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland 
• Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Cleveland
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Cleveland

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees have won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-2 and 6-3, and they will look for a 3-0 lead in the series here. New York jumped out to a 3-0 lead in game two of this series, before Cleveland cut the lead to 3-2 in the fifth inning. The Yankees were able to add three runs in the sixth and seventh innings to pull away and take the 2-0 series lead. Prior to this series, the Yankees won three out of four games against the Royals in the ALDS. 

The New York pitching staff had a 3.74 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average in the regular season. The Yankees offense scored 815 runs with a .248 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this year. Aaron Judge hit .322 with 58 home runs and 144 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians come into this matchup in just about a must win situation, as they cannot afford to fall down 0-3 in the series. The Guardians have allowed 11 runs in the first two games of this series and they are in desperate need of a strong outing from a starting pitcher. Cleveland had a chance to get back into game one, but they stranded two runners with one out in the eighth. In game two, they had a few chances that they couldn’t capitalize on, but it is tough to overcome an early deficit. Prior to this series, the Guardians defeated the Tigers in five games in the ALDS. 

The Cleveland pitching staff had a 3.61 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average this season. The Guardians offense scored 708 runs with a .238 batting average and a .307 on base percentage during the regular season. Jose Ramirez hit .279 with 39 home runs and 118 RBI’s this year. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clarke Schmidt, who allowed two earned runs and four hits over 4.2 innings against the Royals in his first appearance this postseason. Schmidt has been very solid for the Yankees this season, but he missed a ton of time with an injury. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Matthew Boyd, who allowed zero earned runs and five hits over 6.2 innings of work in two starts against Detroit in the ALDS. Boyd has not pitched more than 4.2 innings in any of his last five outings, so Cleveland will most likely be leaning on their bullpen once again. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Guardians

• The Yankees have won seven of their last eight road games.
• The Guardians have lost each of their last six night games against the Yankees at Progressive Field following a loss.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Guardians following a win.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Guardians.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Guardians’ last seven games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Yankees’ last five playoff games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three home games against AL East opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Guardians’ last eight home games against the Yankees.
• Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents at Progressive Field.
• Brayan Rocchio has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last eight games as home underdogs against the Yankees.
• Steven Kwan has recorded a hit in each of the Guardians’ last nine playoff games as underdogs.
• Jose Ramirez ranks 5th in the league in Steals (41) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last three games as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in five of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against the Guardians.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last six games against the Guardians.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against the Guardians.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded two or more hits in each of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.701) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
• The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (621).
• The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (815).
• The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for RBI’s this season (782).

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this game desperately searching for a win to get back into this series, but I have not liked what I have seen from them. The Guardians have not had much length from their starting pitching in this postseason, so I am getting worried that their bullpen is going to tire out. New York hasn’t hit the ball particularly well so far in the playoffs, but they have still managed to score 11 runs in the first two games of the series. I think the Yankees have the pitching advantage once again in this game and I am going to back them here in game three. 

David Racey's Pick: Yankees ML