New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 8/31/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs White Sox Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 31st at the Rate Field in the 4th game of this series, with the Yankees having the 3-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Chicago White Sox Preview

The Chicago White Sox have a 48-88 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL Central. The White Sox have a 29-42 home record and are 63-65 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-5 home defeat by the Yankees, and have five consecutive losses. Over is 6-3 in their last 9 games and are playing the Twins and the Tigers next.

The White Sox have a .234 batting average this season, .302 OBP and .372 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Lenyn Sosa leads the White Sox with 115 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI with 60, adding a team-high 17 home runs.

Martin Perez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox, and he has a 1-3 record, 2.02 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.

New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees have a 76-60 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL East. The Yankees have a 35-32 road record and are 65-66 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-3 road victory over the White Sox, and have seven consecutive wins. Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games and are playing the Astros and the Blue Jays next.

The Yankees have a .251 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .457 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 146 hits, adding team-highs both in RBI, with 96 and in home runs, with 42. He is also the team’s best hitter, with a .321 batting average.

Luis Gil (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has a 2-1 record, 3.75 ERA and 1.71 WHIP.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The Yankees have lost nine of their last 14 games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The White Sox have won four of their last five day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games following a home loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
• The White Sox have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The White Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The White Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last 10 games against teams that held a losing record.
• The White Sox have lost 13 of their last 14 games at Rate Field following an extra innings loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last 10 games against teams that held a losing record.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 day games against the White Sox.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against the White Sox at Rate Field.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the White Sox’s last seven day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last six games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last six Sunday games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Yankees’ last five road games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The White Sox rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (501).
• The White Sox rank 28th in the league for hits this season (1055).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (717).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (232).

Yankees vs White Sox Prediction

The Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 head-to-head meetings against the White Sox, and have won their last five meetings in Chicago. Over is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Yankees vs White Sox Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -210 home favorites. The Yankees have been red-hot lately, but they are facing arguably the best Chicago pitcher in Martin Perez. Perez has been excellent at home, with a 1.29 home ERA, while Gil has been in excellent form for the Yankees, with just one earned run in each of his last three starts. Both teams are weaker in hitting the opposing starter throw hand, so I like this game to be a low-scoring one. 9 total runs is a lot for this game, so go under this total today.