New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 6/15/25 MLB Picks

The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Max Fried here, and Fried is 9-1 with a 1.84 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. In his career, Fried is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 18 strikeouts against the Red Sox. Brayan Bello will start this one for Boston and is 2-1 with a 3.96 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Bello is 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA and 23 strikeouts.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees will be looking to rebound from a 4-3 loss at the hands of the Red Sox in Saturday’s matchup to sit at 42-27 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.

Yankees Drop Back-To-Back Games

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 99 hits, including 26 home runs, 60 RBIs, 17 doubles, and a .384 batting average, along with 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe also had 20 doubles with 7 stolen bases, 8 home runs, and 39 RBIs, while Jasson Dominguez has added 11 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 79 hits with 14 doubles and a .309 batting average, while Volpe also has 68 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 47 hits with 11 doubles, 12 home runs, and 26 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has 9 homers with 36 RBIs, and Austin Wells has 11 home runs and 43 RBIs, with Bellinger logging 11 doubles and Wells chipping in 12 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 13 home runs and 28 RBIs so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won nine of their last 10 games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last three day games against the Yankees following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one Double in three of the Yankees’ last four games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances at Fenway Park.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in 11 of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine road appearances.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (99) this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to build on their win over the Yankees last time out to sit at 36-36 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head home for a series against the Seattle Mariners.

Red Sox Win 6 Of 7

Alex Bregman has 59 hits, including a team-high 17 doubles, along with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Rafael Devers has added 73 hits with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 57 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 62 hits with 9 home runs, 35 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 81 hits with 18 doubles, 7 triples, 5 home runs, 38 RBIs, and a team-high 14 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 50 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers, and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 13 home runs with 32 RBIs and 4 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 6 homers, 2 triples, 26 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have won four of their last five games as home underdogs.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Trevor Story has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last four games against the Yankees.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Red Sox as home underdogs against the Yankees.
• Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Yankees.
• Jarren Duran ranks 7th in the league in Hits (81) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Yankees’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the Yankees here. Both of these teams have been hitting the ball well lately, the Red Sox against lefties and the Yankees against righties, but I just don’t trust Brayan Bello at Fenway and the only time we really saw Max Fried struggle this year was against the Dodgers and a lot of pitchers have struggled against Los Angeles this season. I can’t see the Red Sox sweeping New York here, and I think Fried shows up as the stopper here to salvage something for New York. Give me the Yankees in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York Yankees -194