Boston Red Sox (35-36) vs New York Yankees (42-26)
Game Info: Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 7:15 pm (Fenway Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox +140 / New York Yankees -176 — Over/Under: 8.5
The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Yankees will send out Carlos Rodon for the start here, and Rodon is 8-4 with a 2.87 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. Hunter Dobbins will get the start for the Red Sox here, and Dobbins is 3-1 with a 4.20 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees come into this game looking to bounce back from a 2-1 loss at the hands of the Red Sox in Friday’s series opener to sit at 42-26 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.
Yankees Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 98 hits, including 25 home runs, 59 RBIs, 17 doubles, and a .392 batting average, along with 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe also had 20 doubles with 7 stolen bases, 8 home runs, and 38 RBIs, while Jasson Dominguez has added 10 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 78 hits with 13 doubles and a .313 batting average, while Volpe also has 67 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 47 hits with 11 doubles, 12 home runs, and 26 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has 9 homers with 36 RBIs, and Austin Wells has 11 home runs and 42 RBIs, with Bellinger logging 11 doubles and Wells chipping in 12 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 13 home runs and 28 RBIs so far this season.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven games following an extra-innings win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games at Fenway Park following a win.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one Double in each of the Yankees’ last three games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
- Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games as road favorites.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against AL opponents.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine road appearances.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
- Oswaldo Cabrera has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (99) this season.
Boston Red Sox Recap
The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to build on their series-opening win over the Yankees from Friday’s clash to improve to 35-36 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head home for a series against the Seattle Mariners.
Red Sox Win 5 Of 6
Alex Bregman has 59 hits, including a team-high 17 doubles, along with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Rafael Devers has added 72 hits with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 57 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 59 hits with 9 home runs, 34 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 81 hits with 18 doubles, 7 triples, 5 home runs, 38 RBIs, and a team-high 14 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 50 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers, and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 13 home runs with 32 RBIs and 4 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 6 homers, 2 triples, 25 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases this season.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have won each of their last five Saturday games as home underdogs.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games at Fenway Park following an extra-innings loss.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Abraham Toro has recorded at least one Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Yankees.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 home games against the Yankees.
- Rafael Devers ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.405) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last four games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction
I’m on the over in this one. I get the case to be made for either side, and after a pitcher’s duel on Friday, I think the runs come in bunches here. Rodon’s been solid, but he is hittable, and the Red Sox have started to turn the heat up offensively as of late. On the other side, Dobbins has been up and down himself and made some questionable comments that drew the ire of the Yankees a bit, and I think the Yankee bats could come out with a point to prove here. Give me the over.