| MATCHUP | New York Yankees | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 48-33 | 34-46 |
| Spread | -1.5 128 | +1.5 -155 |
| Moneyline | -125 | +104 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-114) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
| Where | Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts | |
| When | Saturday, June 27, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ABC | |
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 48-33 on the year and play the Twins and Tigers next. The New York Yankees are batting .243 on the season and have a .327 OBP and a .433 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 79 hits and 53 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 140 hits and 82 RBI.
Gerrit Cole gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 2-2 with a 3.62 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Cole is 7-6 with a 5.23 ERA and 130 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 34-46 on the year and play the Angels and Nationals next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .244 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and have a .386 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 82 hits and 38 RBI, while Ceddanne Rafaela and Willson Contreras have combined for 157 hits and 83 RBI.
Jake Bennett gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 1-3 with a 3.71 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. This will be Bennett’s first career game against the New York Yankees.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine Saturday games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last six day games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 16 home games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Yankees’ last six games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Nine of the last 11 games between the Yankees and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last four games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Gerrit Cole’s last four road appearances as a starter.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Caleb Durbin has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last five games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Jose Caballero has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
- Gerrit Cole has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his 10 previous Saturday appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Jasson Dominguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in six of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
The Red Sox are having a decent week, but they’ve been horrible at home this season and have had issues stringing wins together overall. Cole is still trying to find his footing with a small sample size, but we’re still getting a Hall of Fame pitcher and a cheap price. Bennett is a rookie with just 26.2 innings under his belt, so the jury is still out. I’m not sure how you turn down the Yankees and the low price here, given the gap on the mound. Give me the Yankees to stop the bleeding against their rival.