New York (53-43) vs Atlanta (42-53)
July 18, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 18, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees (53-43, 23-24 Away) were on a five-game winning streak after beating the New York Mets and sweeping the Seattle Mariners, but even though they opened the final series of the first half against the Chicago Cubs, the Yanks lost the following two games. In a rubber match, New York lost 4-1. Giancarlo Stanton hit a solo homer, while Will Warren took the loss after allowing two runs on six hits with one strikeout and three walks in 5.1 innings.
This season, the Yankees average 5.22 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .256/.336/.455 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.82 ERA (13th) and 1.21 WHIP (6th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .355 batting average, 35 home runs, and 81 RBI this season.
At the time of writing, the Yankees still haven’t announced who will start this game against the Braves.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves (42-53, 24-22 Home) suffered four consecutive series losses but did manage to conclude the first half of the season with a win over the St. Louis Cardinals. Atlanta had a chance to sweep the Cards, who avoided that with a narrow 5-4 victory in Game 3. Matt Olson led the offense with three RBI, while Davis Daniel pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on two hits with five strikeouts and three walks. Jesse Chavez took the loss.
This year, the Braves average 4.08 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .243/.315/.388 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.88 ERA (15th) and 1.24 WHIP (11th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .262 batting average, 17 home runs, and 61 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Spencer Strider, who is 3-7 in 11 starts this season, with a 3.94 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 61.2 innings.
Why the Braves will beat the Yankees
The Yankees have lost eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
The Braves have won seven of their last eight games at Truist Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against American League opponents following a road loss.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Yankees’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Braves’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Braves’ last seven night games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three night games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Braves rank T26th in the league for doubles this season (136).
The Braves rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (737).
The Yankees rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.336).
The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (373).
Yankees vs Braves Prediction
The Braves won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last six. I am backing the Braves to open this series with a W because of Spencer Strider, who has been solid recently and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in his previous seven starts. On the other hand, it’s likely going to be a bullpen day for the Yankees, so I don’t know what to expect from the visitors. Atalanta is a mess this year, and I am not sure whether the Braves will be able to put a bad half of the season and get a fresh start this summer, but I am backing them to at least open the second half with a win.