| MATCHUP | New York Mets | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 35-50 | 40-45 |
| Spread | -1.5 168 | +1.5 -205 |
| Moneyline | +101 | -122 |
| Total | Over 8 (-107) | Under 8 (-113) |
| Where | Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario | |
| When | Tuesday, June 30, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:07 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 40‑45 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 23‑24 home record and are coming off a 2‑1 home win against the Mets. They will face the Mariners and the Giants next.
The Blue Jays have a .247 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 53, adding a team‑high 19 home runs.
Kevin Gausman (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 4‑6 record, 4.36 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 35‑50 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 16‑26 road record and are coming off a 1‑2 road defeat against the Blue Jays. They will face the Braves and the Royals next.
The Mets have a .230 batting average this season, .299 OBP and .374 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Juan Soto is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average, also adding a team‑high 17 home runs. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 46.
Nolan McLean (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 4‑5 record, 4.03 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.
New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: June 30, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman Record this season: 4-6 ERA: 4.36
- Home Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Mets: 1-4
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last nine night games following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday night games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Nolan McLean Record this season: 4-5 ERA: 4.03
- Road Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: –
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Mets have won six of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games after playing the previous day.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.
- The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in four of their last five games.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last four games between the Mets and Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mets’ last seven road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as home favorites.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight road games.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Kazuma Okamoto has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three night games.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 Tuesday appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
- Ernie Clement ranks T5th in the league in Hits (94) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two road games against the Blue Jays.
- Nolan McLean has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Nolan McLean has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances against AL opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
- Juan Soto ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.568) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
- The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for walks this season (235).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (103).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.299).
Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction
The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Blue Jays but have lost two of their last three visits in Toronto.
In this Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -120 home favorites. Gausman has been struggling mightily for the Blue Jays lately, having given up 4+ runs in four of his last five starts, while McLean has given up four runs in his four starts before his last one where he struggled. The Mets also have the 6th-best bullpen in baseball so I will take a stab with the Mets and the plus money in this one and fade Gausman.