| MATCHUP | New York Mets | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 72-85 | 78-79 |
| Spread | -1.5 159 | +1.5 -194 |
| Moneyline | -107 | -113 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-112) | Under 7.5 (-108) |
| Where | Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas | |
| When | Wednesday, September 23, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 72-85 on the year and play the Nationals next. The New York Mets are batting .239 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and have a .394 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 162 hits and 76 RBI, while Carson Benge and A.J. Ewing have combined for 267 hits and 102 RBI.
Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 11-10 with a 3.18 ERA and 189 strikeouts this season. This will be McLean’s second career game against the Texas Rangers.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 78-79 on the year and play the Twins next. The Texas Rangers are batting .242 on the season, with a .318 OBP and a .396 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers’ pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Nimmo leads the Texas Rangers with 150 hits and 61 RBI, while Ezequiel Duran and Jake Burger have combined for 261 hits and 171 RBI.
Cody Bradford gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 0-5 with a 4.19 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. This will be Bradford’s first career game against the New York Mets.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last six games against AL opponents following a win.
- The Rangers have won seven of their last eight home games against NL opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games against AL West opponents following a road win.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in five of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 12 games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last six Wednesday night games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- The Rangers have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the last 10 games between the Mets and Rangers.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Wednesday night games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Mets’ last 10 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Rangers’ last nine games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Rangers’ last seven home games against NL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Mets’ last 12 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Cody Bradford has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances at Globe Life Field against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Joc Pederson has hit at least one home run in four of his last eight home appearances against the Mets.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Nolan McLean has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against AL West opponents.
- Nolan McLean has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rangers rank T25th in the league for steals this season (76).
- The Rangers rank 23rd in the league for hits this season (1261).
- The Mets rank 25th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.394).
- The Mets rank 6th in the league for strikeouts this season (1413).
New York Mets vs Texas Rangers Prediction
You can argue the Mets have the edge with McLean on the mound as he has a 3.18 ERA and 1.19 WHIP through 172.2 innings. However, the Mets have let down bettors all season long and aren’t a team I’m excited to back. Bradford has been hit or miss, but the Rangers are at home in the thick of a division title race. We’re getting a pick em spot with a team at home that has something to play for while also fading one of the most disappointing teams in baseball. Give me the Rangers in what feels like a steal.