New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 4/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Mar 31, 2026; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; New York Mets starting pitcher Kodai Senga (34) pitches against the St. Louis Cardinals during the fourth inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
Team Records
6-4
3-7
Where
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California
When
Sunday, April 5, 2026
Time
04:05 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The New York Mets and the San Francisco Giants meet Sunday in MLB action from Oracle Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send out Kodai Senga for the start here and Senga is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. In his career, Senga is 1-0 with a 7.07 ERA and 11 strikeouts against the Giants. Logan Webb will start for San Francisco here and is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Webb is 2-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 30 strikeouts.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to build on their 9-0 win over the Giants from Saturday’s matchup to sit at 5-4 this season. After this series, the Mets will head home for a game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Mets Win Back-To-Back Games
Going into Saturday’s game, Luis Robert Jr. has 7 hits including a home run and 6 RBIs while Juan Soto has a team-high 11 hits with 2 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs. Brett Baty has 6 hits with a double, a triple and four RBIs while Francisco Lindor has 5 hits with a pair of triples as well. Marcus Semien also has 6 hits with a double and five RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 7 hits with 2 doubles and 5 RBIs as well this season.
San Francisco Giants Recap
The San Francisco Giants come into this game looking to shake off their loss to the Mets from Saturday’s matchup to sit at 3-6 this season. After this series, the will take on the Philadelphia Phillies at home.
Giants Drop Back-To-Back Games
Entering Saturday, Luis Arraez has a team-high 10 hits with a double, a triple and 3 RBIs while Willy Adames has 7 hits with 2 doubles, a home run and 3 RBIs. Matt Chapman and Harrison Bader each have a home run and 3 RBIs while Jung Hoo Lee has 4 hits with 3 doubles and a team-high 4 RBIs. Heliot Ramos has 7 hits with a double and 2 RBIs but also has a team-high 12 strikeouts this season as well as the aforementioned Adames.
New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants Betting Trends: April 5, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Webb Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 7.36
Home Record: 0-1
Last 5 against Mets: 2-1
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
The Mets have lost each of their last eight Sunday games against National League opponents.
The Giants have won four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a win.
The Giants have covered the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Giants have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
The Giants have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Giants have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Kodai Senga Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 3.00
Road Record: 0-1
Last 5 against Giants: 1-0
Why the New York Mets will win
The Giants have lost each of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
The Mets have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Giants.
The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents following a win.
The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against NL West opponents.
The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
The Mets have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Mets’ last 11 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the last five games between the Mets and Giants have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Giants’ last 10 games as favorites.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight games against NL West opponents.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of the Giants’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
Luis Arraez has recorded two or more hits in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
Logan Webb has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Logan Webb has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
Kodai Senga has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his eight previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mets as underdogs against NL opponents.
Juan Soto has hit a home run in six of his last 10 appearances with the Mets as road underdogs.
Francisco Alvarez ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Giants rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (4).
The Giants rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (22).
The Mets rank T1st in the league for triples this season (3).
The Mets rank T2nd in the league for walks this season (40).
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction
I’m looking at the Mets here. I get the case to be made for the Giants at home as they have Logan Webb on the bump, who is supposed to be the staff ace. However, the Mets have looked like far and away the better team here in this series, and I think the Mets pick up another win here. We’ve seen Webb look human at times already this year and I think Senga’s a solid option for the Mets that just didn’t get run support in his debut. I’ll look for that to change here as the Mets grab the win.
