New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 9/13/24

In this article, we will formulate a New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 13th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Mets’ recent form and recent player performance 
• The Phillies’ recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
• Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Philadelphia 
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Philadelphia 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 80-66 this year and they have split their last four games. New York is coming off of a series win against Toronto, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Mets won two out of three against the Reds, swept the Red Sox, and swept the White Sox. New York is 11-2 in their last 13 games and they are second in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Mets’ offense has scored 692 runs with a .246 batting average and a .319 on-base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .238 with 31 home runs and 80 RBI’s for the Mets this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 88-58 this season and they have won three games in a row. Philadelphia is coming off of a series win against Tampa Bay, where they won all three games. Prior to that series, the Phillies split four games with the Marlins, won both games against the Blue Jays, and won three out of our against the Braves. Philadelphia is 9-2 in their last 11 games and they are first in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 714 runs with a .259 batting average and a .328 on-base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .288 with 26 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Quintana, who is 8-9 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 152.0 innings pitched this year. Quintana has allowed a total of one earned run in his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 12-7 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 177.0 innings pitched this season. Nola has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Mets will beat the Phillies

• The Mets have won 10 of their last 15 games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last five Friday night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Mets’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in night games.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last six games against the Mets at Citizens Bank Park.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Mets.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four games against the Phillies.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last 10 games as underdogs.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in two of the Mets’ last three games as road underdogs.
• Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 games as underdogs.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after another series win earlier this week, and they are one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now. The Mets are 40-32 on the road, while the Phillies are 50-25 at home this year. New York is currently second in the NL East and they are fighting with the Braves for the last NL Wild Card spot. The Mets are starting Jose Quintana, who has a slightly elevated ERA, but he has been great recently. The Phillies are going with Nola, who has been very solid this season. This should be a pretty good pitching matchup, but I am going to take the plus money and hope Quintana can continue his dominance. 

David Racey's Pick: Mets ML