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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7/18/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Mar 12, 2026; Clearwater, Florida, USA; Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Jesus Luzardo (44) throws a pitch against the Toronto Blue Jays in the first inning during spring training at BayCare Ballpark. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

Mar 12, 2026; Clearwater, Florida, USA; Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Jesus Luzardo (44) throws a pitch against the Toronto Blue Jays in the first inning during spring training at BayCare Ballpark. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

MATCHUP New York Mets Philadelphia Phillies
Team Records 41-57 54-44
Spread +1.5 -149 -1.5 123
Moneyline +138 -167
Total Over 8.5 (-119) Under 8.5 (-102)
Where Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
When Saturday, July 18, 2026
Time 04:05 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV
The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet on Saturday afternoon in the second game of a three‑game National League East series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets enter Saturday’s contest with a 41-57 overall record (5th in the National League East) and a 20–29 mark on the road. The Mets offense has been inconsistent this season. Through 98 games played in 2026, New York has compiled 402 runs scored (23rd in MLB), 121 doubles, 115 home runs and a .233 team batting average which ranks a rather low 22nd in Major League Baseball.

The Mets arrive at tomorrow’s game in below average form. New York has lost three of the team’s last four games played this season, including a 4–0 shutout loss to the Boston Red Sox six days ago.

New York will turn to left hander Sean Manaea in this game. In six starts made this season, Manaea has compiled a 2–4 win‑loss record, a 4.56 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP and 74 strikeouts, while allowing 75 hits and 24 walks in 75 innings pitched. Manaea arrives at this contest in relatively good form, allowing two or fewer earned runs in three of his last five starts made in 2026. Manaea will look to build on his steady performance from the first half of the MLB regular season in tomorrow’s matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.

The New York Mets lineup features Juan Soto and Carson Benge. Juan Soto enters this contest with a robust .292 batting average, 21 home runs (13th in MLB), 51 RBIs and a .976 OPS which ranks seventh in Major League Baseball. Carson Benge has compiled a .263 batting average and 11 home runs.                                                                                                        

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies enter Saturday afternoon’s matchup with a 54–44 overall record (2nd in the National League East) and a 25–22 mark at home. Philadelphia has played competitive baseball recently, winning three of the team’s last five games, including a 5–0 victory over the Detroit Tigers last week.

Philadelphia will start left hander Jesus Luzardo in Saturday’s game. In nineteen starts made in 2026, Luzardo has compiled an 8–4 record, a 3.51 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP and a massive 136 strikeouts which ranks fifth in Major League Baseball, while allowing 100 hits and 35 walks in 110.1 innings pitched. Luzardo has pitched exceptionally well recently, allowing one or fewer earned runs in four consecutive starts this season.  

The Phillies lineup features first baseman Bryce Harper and outfielder Brandon Marsh. Bryce Harper enters this contest with a .261 batting average, 20 home runs (19th in MLB), 18 doubles, 61 walks, 57 RBIs and an .865 OPS. Brandon Marsh has amassed a .297 batting average (11th in MLB), 15 home runs, 46 RBIs, 8 stolen bases and an .819 OPS.                                               

Why the New York Mets will win.

• Offensive balance. Juan Soto and Carson Benge continue to anchor the New York Mets lineup.

• Motivation factor. The New York Mets have lost three of the team’s last five games.      

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win.

• Elite starting pitching. In nineteen starts made in 2026, Jesus Luzardo has compiled an 8–4 record, a 3.51 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP and a massive 136 strikeouts which ranks fifth in Major League Baseball.

• Home field edge. Philadelphia has played competitive baseball (25-22) at Citizens Bank Park this season.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

In my view, this matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies. Why? Philadelphia starting pitcher Jesus Luzardo has pitched exceptionally well recently, allowing one or fewer earned runs in four consecutive starts this season. Additionally, the Phillies arrive at this contest in good overall form (won three of last five games), while the New York Mets are in below average form, losing three of the team’s last five contests. With that said, I am backing the Philadelphia Phillies on the moneyline in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Philadelphia Phillies ML

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