New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 9/28/24

In this article we will formulate a New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 28th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

• The Mets recent form and recent player performance 
• The Brewers recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Milwaukee 
• Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Milwaukee
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Milwaukee 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 87-71 this year and they have lost two games in a row. New York dropped the first game in this series and allowed eight runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Mets lost one game against the Braves, won three out of four against the Phillies, and swept the Nationals. New York is 2-3 in their last five games and they are third in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 755 runs with a .247 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .242 with 34 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Mets this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 92-68 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Milwaukee won game one in this series by a score of 8-4 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Pirates, lost three out of four against the Diamondbacks, and won two out of three against the Phillies. Milwaukee is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they have clinched the NL Central. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 771 runs with a .249 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .250 with 32 home runs and 111 RBI’s for the Brewers this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Quintana, who is 10-9 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 166.0 innings pitched this year. Quintana has allowed a total of one earned run in his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jared Koenig, who is 9-4 with a 2.51 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 61.0 innings pitched this season. Koenig has allowed one earned run in his last four appearances, but should only pitch one inning here. 

Why the Mets will beat the Brewers

• The Brewers have lost each of their last four home games following a home win.
• The Mets have won six of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Mets and Brewers at American Family Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Mets’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four games at American Family Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six Saturday night games.

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 

New York dropped the first game in this series on Friday, but they are fighting in the NL Wild Card race, so they need to get this win. The Mets are 41-36 on the road this year, while the Brewers are 46-33 at home. Milwaukee is most likely going to be the third seed in the NL, so they can start focusing on that game and lining up their pitchers for the Wild Card round. I know the Brewers play very well at home, but Quintana has been great for the Mets over the last few weeks. Take New York here.