New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 9/27/24

The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Sean Manaea here and Manaea is 12-5 with a 3.29 ERA and 183 strikeouts this season. In his career, Manaea is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Brewers. Frankie Montas will start this one for the Brewers and is 7-11 with a 4.85 ERA and 142 strikeouts this season. This will be Montas’ second career start against the Mets.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this one looking to keep their momentum going after a rain-shortened series with the Braves, losing the lone game that was played by a final score of 5-1. Prior to that, the Mets had won back-to-back series over the Phillies and Nationals over the last week and a half.

Mets Pushing For Playoff Spot

Pete Alonso has 34 home runs and 88 RBIs with 31 doubles and Francisco Lindor has 39 doubles of his own with 31 home runs and 86 RBIs along with 27 stolen bases. Brandon Nimmo has 87 RBIs and 149 strikeouts while Lindor has a team-high 163 hits and Harrison Bader has 17 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last seven night games following a loss.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last four games at American Family Field following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this one looking to finish the season strong after picking up a series win over the Pittsburgh Pirates thanks to a 5-2 win in Thursday’s series finale. The win gave the Brewers a nice bounce back after falling short against the Arizona Diamondbacks last weekend.

Brewers Have Sights Set On Wild Card Round

William Contreras leads the Brewers with 166 hits including 37 doubles and 92 RBIs along with 23 home runs and a .364 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has 25 home runs with 78 RBIs and Willy Adames has 33 doubles with 32 home runs and 111 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 47 stolen bases while Adames has a team-high 171 strikeouts as well this season. Jackson Chourio added 21 homers and 78 RBIs also on the year.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 12 games at American Family Field following a road loss.
• The Brewers have won each of their last nine home games against the Mets following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Mets and Brewers.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 17 games as favorites against the Brewers following a loss.

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction

I’m on the Mets here. I just think that there’s far more at stake for the Mets who have in fairness been playing really well down the stretch. The Brewers have one eye looking ahead to the playoffs and I’ve always thought the addition of Frankie Montas didn’t make much sense from the Brewers’ perspective. Manaea’s been on a tear for the Mets and I think he keeps it going at arguably the most important point of New York’s season. Give me the Mets in this one to draw first blood.