| MATCHUP | New York Mets | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 63-55 | 73-44 |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Sunday, August 10, 2025 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | FanDuel SN WI | |
In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 10, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (63-54, 25-33 Away) continue to struggle after losing 11 of the last 12 games. The Mets have been swept by the Padres, lost to the Giants, and then were swept by the Guardians. New York will lose this series against the Brewers as well, after falling 3-2 and 7-4 in the first two games. Last night, in a 7-4 defeat, the Mets used their bullpen; Ryne Stanek took the loss, while four different batters contributed a run apiece.
This year, the Mets average 4.36 runs per game (15th in the MLB) on a .239/.318/.404 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.67 ERA (6th) and 1.30 WHIP (21st). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .261 batting average, 26 home runs, and 92 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Mets is Sean Manaea, who is 1-1 in four starts this season, with a 3.52 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 23.0 innings.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (72-44, 38-20 Home) are on an eight-game winning run after sweeping the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves on the road and defeating the Mets in the opening two games of the current series. In Saturday’s 7-4 victory, William Contreras led the offense with two RBI, while Tobias Myers pitched for 3.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on five hits with four strikeouts and two walks. Jared Koenig was credited with the win.
This season, the Brewers average 5.00 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .257/.330/.398 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 3.62 ERA (4th) and 1.24 WHIP (10th). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .257 batting average, 21 home runs, and 74 RBI this season.
Quinn Priester will take the mound for the Brewers on Sunday. The 24-year-old right-hander has an 11-2 record in 16 starts this year with a 3.15 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 114.1 innings.
Why the Brewers will beat the Mets
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight games.
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 games as road underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Mets’ last 12 games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five day games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four day games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.256).
- The Brewers rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.329).
- The Mets are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The Mets rank 6th in the league for walks this season (404).
Mets vs Brewers Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past few years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the Brewers lead 3-2, and I am backing them to win today and complete a sweep. Milwaukee is currently the hottest team in the MLB, while the Mets are the coldest. Quinn Priester hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last five starts, and he was solid in July, posting a 3.07 ERA. I am backing him to contain the Mets to one or two runs. Sean Manaea was excellent in July (2.08 ERA), but surrendered five runs in his previous start against the Guardians. Milwaukee is too hot at the moment, and I don’t think he can handle the hosts. Back the Brewers.