New York Mets vs LA Dodgers Prediction MLB Picks 10/20/24

David Racey

1 year ago

LA Dodgers (104-68) vs New York Mets (96-78)

Game Info: Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 8:08 pm (Dodger Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: LA Dodgers -145 / New York Mets +120 — Over/Under: 8.5

In this article we will formulate a New York Mets vs LA Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, October 20th at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. To formulate this prediction for game six in the NLCS, we will examine:

The Mets recent form and recent player performance
The Dodgers recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving LA
Recent betting trends in games played between New York and LA
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and LA

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets were able to avoid elimination in game five with a 12-6 win at home, but their backs continue to be against the wall here. New York did win game two in LA by a score of 7-3, so they know they can compete, but the pitching staff has to be better. The Mets have allowed 6, 10, 8, 3, and 9 runs in the first five games of this series, which is obviously a big issue. On offense, New York has done a good job getting runners on base, but they have struggled to get the big hit in most of this series. Prior to this series, the Mets won three out of four against the Phillies and won two out of three against the Brewers.

The New York pitching staff had a 3.96 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average this year. The Mets offense scored 768 runs with a .246 batting average and a .319 on base percentage during the regular season. Pete Alonso hit .240 with 34 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Mets this season.

LA Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers were unable to advance to the World Series in game five of this series on Friday night, but they will try again here at home. The Dodgers continue to hit the ball very well in this postseason and they have scored 24 runs in their last three games. The Dodgers did allow 12 runs in the game five loss, but they have allowed two runs or fewer in five of their last seven games against the Mets and Padres. One thing to keep an eye on in this game is Freddie Freeman’s status, as he may sit out due to injury. Prior to this series, LA won three out of five against the Padres, including two shutout wins in game four and five.

The Los Angeles pitching staff had a 3.90 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average this year. The Dodgers offense scored 842 runs with a .258 batting average and a .335 on base percentage during the regular season. Shohei Ohtani hit .310 with 54 home runs and 130 RBI’s for the Dodgers this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 2-0 with a 2.65 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 17.0 innings pitched this postseason. Manaea allowed two earned runs and two hits over 5.0 innings against the Dodgers earlier in the series. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is TBD. It sounds like it is going to be a bullpen game for the Dodgers.

Why the Dodgers will beat the Mets

The Mets have lost each of their last six playoff games against NL West opponents following a win.
The Dodgers have won 14 of their last 16 night games against the Mets following a loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night playoff games against NL West opponents following a win.
The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last five playoff games after not playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Dodgers’ last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Mets’ last eight playoff games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last three home games against NL East opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

Mookie Betts has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last two games as favorites.
Mookie Betts has recorded a Double in three of the Dodgers’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Max Muncy has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five playoff appearances against NL East opponents at Dodger Stadium.
Teoscar Hernandez has scored at least one run in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine games against NL East opponents at Dodger Stadium.
Tommy Edman has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven appearances against the Mets.
Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
Tommy Edman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against the Mets.
Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (59) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in four of the Mets’ last five playoff games as road underdogs.
Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
J.D. Martinez has hit at least one home run in five of his last nine appearances at Dodger Stadium.
Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 16 of the Mets’ last 17 road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBI’s this season (815).
The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.335).
The New York Mets rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (1232).
The New York Mets rank 5th in the league for strikeouts this season (1455).