New York Mets vs LA Dodgers Prediction MLB Picks 10/13/24

David Racey

11 months ago

LA Dodgers (101-66) vs New York Mets (94-75)

October 13, 2024 at 08:15 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: LA Dodgers -160 / New York Mets +135 — Over/Under: 8.5

In this article we will formulate a New York Mets vs LA Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, October 13th at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. To formulate this prediction for game one in the NLCS, we will examine:

The Mets recent form and recent player performance
The Dodgers recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving LA
Recent betting trends in games played between New York and LA
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and LA

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are coming off of a series win against the Phillies in the NLDS. New York won game one by a score of 6-2, but they did drop game two, before winning games three and four by scores of 7-2 and 4-1. The Mets scored at least six runs in three of the four games in the NLDS and the offense has been very good since the last three games of the regular season. Prior to the NLDS, the Mets won two out of three against the Brewers in the Wild Card round.

The New York pitching staff had a 3.96 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average this year. The Mets offense scored 768 runs with a .246 batting average and a .319 on base percentage during the regular season. Pete Alonso hit .240 with 34 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Mets this season.

LA Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers were able to get by the Padres in the NLDS in a very entertaining series. Los Angeles won game one by a score of 7-5, but they lost games two and three and were facing elimination. The Dodgers were able to bounce back by shutting out the Padres in game four and five by scores of 8-0 and 2-0 to advance. The LA pitching staff was very shaky in the first three games of that series, but they were fantastic in the last two. Prior to the postseason, the Dodgers swept the Rockies, won two out of three against the Padres, and won two out of three against the Rockies.

The Los Angeles pitching staff had a 3.90 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average this year. The Dodgers offense scored 842 runs with a .258 batting average and a .335 on base percentage during the regular season. Shohei Ohtani hit .310 with 54 home runs and 130 RBI’s for the Dodgers this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who allowed one earned run and one hit in two innings of work against the Phillies last weekend. Senga was injured for most of the season and will probably only pitch a few innings once again here. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Jack Flaherty, who allowed four earned runs and five hits over 5.1 innings against the Padres last weekend. Flaherty has allowed at least three earned runs in four straight starts.

Why the Dodgers will beat the Mets

The Dodgers have won each of their last four games against the Mets.
The Mets have lost each of their last four night playoff games against NL West opponents following a win.
The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Mets following a win.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night playoff games against NL West opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Dodgers’ last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Mets’ last seven playoff games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs against NL West opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

Teoscar Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Teoscar Hernandez has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games against NL East opponents at Dodger Stadium.
Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Dodgers’ last nine games as favorites against NL opponents.
Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last nine games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Chris Taylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL opponents.
Chris Taylor has recorded a Single in six of his last seven appearances against the Mets after not playing the previous day.
Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (59) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four playoff games as underdogs.
Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last four playoff games as underdogs.
Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 14 of the Mets’ last 15 road games.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 road games against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBI’s this season (815).
The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.335).
The New York Mets rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (1232).
The New York Mets rank 5th in the league for strikeouts this season (1455).