| MATCHUP | New York Mets | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 32-40 | 34-37 |
| Spread | +1.5 -191 | -1.5 157 |
| Moneyline | +113 | -136 |
| Total | Over 9 (101) | Under 9 (-121) |
| Where | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio | |
| When | Monday, June 15, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The New York Mets and Cincinnati Reds meet Monday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 32-39 on the year and play the Phillies and Cubs next. The New York Mets are batting .230 on the season, have a .294 OBP, and have a .371 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 68 hits and 40 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 121 hits and 60 RBI.
Tobias Myers gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 0-1 with a 4.05 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. Myers is 0-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 33-37 on the year and play the Yankees and Brewers next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 229 on the season, have a .312 OBP, and have a .393 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 65 hits and 37 RBI, while Sal Stewart and Spencer Steer have combined for 124 hits and 68 RBI.
Chase Burns gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 7-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. This will be Burns’ second career game against the New York Mets.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Mets have lost eight of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Reds have won six of their last seven games against the Mets at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Mets at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Reds have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Mets have won four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as home favorites.
- The Mets have covered the run line in 14 of their last 16 games as underdogs against the Reds following a win.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mets’ last seven road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Reds’ last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances with the Reds as home favorites against the Mets.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more hits in each of his last six appearances at Great American Ball Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Chase Burns is one of only seven pitchers to record six or more Wins and have an ERA under 2.50 this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Bo Bichette has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Reds.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (318).
- The Reds rank T27th in the league for triples this season (6).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.294).
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for walks this season (199).
New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
I’m not a fan of oepners, and I wouldn’t back Myers. He hasn’t pitched in a couple of weeks, and he’s allowed 17 hits and 10 runs in his last 14 innings. There’s also the fact that these are the Mets, one of the most disappointing teams in baseball. Burns looks like a Cy Young candidate with a 2.14 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and a .190 batting average allowed in 75.2 innings. Burns has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in each of his last 10 starts. Because of the clear pitching edge and stability, I’m rolling with the Reds at home.