Chicago White Sox (31-106) vs New York Mets (72-64)
Game Info: Sunday, September 1, 2024 at 2:10 pm (Guaranteed Rate Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago White Sox +149 / New York Mets -175 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article we will formulate a New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 1st at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:
- The Mets recent form and recent player performance
- The White Sox recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
- Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Chicago
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Chicago
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 72-64 this year and they have won four of their last five games. New York has won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-1 and 5-3. Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, split four games with the Padres, and won two out of three against the Orioles. New York is 7-3 in their last 10 games and they are third in the NL East.
The New York pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 649 runs with a .249 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .243 with 30 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Mets this season.
Chicago White Sox Betting Preview
The Chicago White Sox are 31-106 this season and they have lost nine games in a row. Chicago has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 10 runs in the process. Prior to this series, the White Sox lost all three against the Rangers, lost all four against the Tigers, and lost two out of three against the Giants. Chicago is 1-13 in their last 14 games and they are last in the AL Central.
The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.87 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 420 runs with a .220 batting average and a .278 on base percentage. Andrew Vaughn is batting .236 with 15 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the White Sox this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 10-5 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 143.2 innings pitched this year. Manaea has allowed three earned runs in four straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Garrett Crochet, who is 6-9 with a 3.64 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 128.2 innings pitched this season. Crochet has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but has not pitched more than four innings in any of those outings.
Why the Mets will beat the White Sox
- The White Sox have lost each of their last 11 games at Guaranteed Rate Field.
- The favorites have won 21 of the White Sox’s last 22 games at Guaranteed Rate Field.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 15 Sunday day games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last five games at Guaranteed Rate Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Mets’ last 11 games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the White Sox’s last nine games as underdogs against the Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Mets and White Sox.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Yoan Moncada has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games.
- Andrew Benintendi has recorded at least one RBI in six of the White Sox’s last eight day games.
- Nicky Lopez has scored a run in four of his last five appearances.
- Gavin Sheets has recorded at least one Single in each of the White Sox’s last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Gavin Sheets has recorded at least one total base in each of the White Sox’s last eight games against NL opponents.
- Luis Robert has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Gavin Sheets has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox’s last eight games against NL opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last 15 road games.
- J.D. Martinez has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five games as favorites.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 15 road games.
- Harrison Bader has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Sean Manaea has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded a Single in each of the Mets’ last six road games against AL Central opponents.
New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
New York comes into this matchup looking for the series sweep, as they continue to pursue a Wild Card spot. The Mets are 37-31 on the road this year, while the White Sox are 18-53 at home. Chicago has been awful this season and they could be looking at a historic losing season. The White Sox do have their ace on the mound, but Crochet has only pitched about four innings in recent starts, which means the bullpen has to do more work. I have to continue fading the White Sox and I am taking the Mets to win by at least two runs.