Boston Red Sox (23-25) vs New York Mets (29-18)
Game Info: Monday, May 19, 2025 at 6:45 pm (Fenway Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox +120 / New York Mets -142 — Over/Under: 9
The New York Mets and Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 29-18 on the year and play the Dodgers, White Sox, and Rockies next. The New York Mets are batting .247 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and a .415 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.86 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 53 hits and 28 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Juan Soto have combined for 93 hits and 57 RBI.
Kodai Senga gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 4-2 with a 1.02 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. This will be Senga’s second career game against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 23-25 on the year and play the Orioles, Brewers, and Braves next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .254 on the season, have a .325 OBP, and a .423 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Alex Bregman leads the Boston Red Sox with 56 hits and 34 RBI, while Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers have combined for 106 hits and 65 RBI.
Hunter Dobbins gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 2-1 with a 3.90 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. This will be Dobbins’ first career game against the New York Mets.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The home team has won each of the last five games between the Mets and Red Sox.
- The Mets have lost eight of their last nine night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Mets at Fenway Park.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games at Fenway Park against AL East opponents.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last nine Monday night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
- The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Red Sox.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last three night games against the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games against NL opponents.
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games at Fenway Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in seven of his eight previous home appearances against the Mets.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents at Fenway Park.
- Jarren Duran ranks T7th in the league in Steals (12) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Brett Baty has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances with the Mets as favorites.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mets’ last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his four previous appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in 10 of the Mets’ last 11 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
The Red Sox are coming off a poor week, and Dobbins has allowed 21 hits and nine runs in his last 16.2 innings. Dobbins has been hittable all season with his .283 allowed batting average. The Mets have the offense to give Dobbins trouble, and Senga looks like a CY Young candidate. Senga has a 1.02 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 12 hits and one earned run in his last 15.2 innings. Senga has allowed five earned runs in 44.1 innings. It’s elite stuff, folks. I’m not stepping in front of that. Give me the Mets and the cheap price on the road.