New York (52-39) vs Baltimore (40-49)
July 8, 2025 at 06:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore +1.5 — Over/Under: +10
The New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles meet Tuesday in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 52-39 on the year and play the Royals, Reds, and Angels next. The New York Mets are batting .245 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .418 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 98 hits and 73 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto have combined for 177 hits and 100 RBI.
Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 8-4 with a 2.99 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 1-2 with a 1.11 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 40-49 on the year and play the Marlins, Rays, and Guardians next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .239 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.94 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 86 hits and 29 RBI while Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn have combined for 158 hits and 66 RBI.
Brandon Young gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. This will be Young’s first career game against the New York Mets.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
The Orioles have won five of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
The Mets have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents.
The Orioles have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Mets at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Why the New York Mets will win
The Orioles have lost each of their last five night games against National League opponents following a road win.
The Mets have won five of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a win.
The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Mets and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Orioles have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four road games against the Orioles.
Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last three games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a losing record.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more hits in each of his three previous appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a losing record.
Juan Soto ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (21) this season.
New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Mets showed signs of getting their act together against the Yankees, and now they throw out an all-star caliber pitcher in Holmes, who has a 2.99 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. In 42 road innings, Holmes has a 2.79 ERA and .259 allowed batting average. Young has just 16.2 career innings under his belt, and he’s allowed 22 hits and 13 runs while walking 11. It’s a small sample size, but it’s also an awful one. There’s no getting behind that. Give me the Mets and the RL for max betting value.