New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 8/23/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

3 months ago

Aug 22, 2025; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor (12) steals second base agaisnt Atlanta Braves shortstop Nick Allen (2) during the fifth inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Godfree-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	New York Mets	Atlanta Braves
Team Records	68-60	58-70
Where	Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
When	Saturday, August 23, 2025
Time	07:15 PM EDT
TV	FanDuel SN South

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Braves Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 23rd at the Truist Park in the second game of this series, with the Mariners having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 58-70 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 32-32 home record and 58-60 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-12 home defeat by the Mets, which ended their two-game winning streak. Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games and are playing the Marlins and the Phillies next.

The Braves have a .245 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 132 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .268 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 72, while Marcell Ozuna leads the team in home runs with 20.

Cal Quantrill (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 4-10 record, 5.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 68-60 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL East. The Mets have a 27-36 road record and are 58-63 in over/under. They are coming off a 12-7 road victory over the Braves, which ended their two-game losing streak. Over is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games and are playing the Marlins and the Phillies next.

The Mets have a .246 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .421 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 136 hits, and leads the team in batting average with .265. Pete Alonso adds a team-high 101 RBI, while Juan Soto adds team-high 32 home runs.

Clay Holmes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 10-6 record, 3.64 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

The Mets have lost each of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The Braves have won each of their last six games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday home games.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Braves have lost each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
The road team has won each of the last three games between the Mets and Braves.
The road team has covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last nine games.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Four of the Mets’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Braves’ last five night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four night games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (458).
The Braves rank 25th in the league for steals this season (64).
The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (118).
The Mets rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (454).

Mets vs Braves Prediction

The Mets are 4-2 in their last 6 head-to-head meetings against the Braves, but the Braves have won their last four meetings before that. Over is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Mets vs Braves Prediction, the Mets are coming as –130 road favorites. Quantrill makes his first start in a Braves uniform, but I don’t trust him at all, since he has been mediocre this season and he has been up and down lately, having 7 earned runs in two of his last three starts. Quantrill has also torched in his only start against the Mets this season, having given up 6 runs in 4 innings pitched. With the Mets also having a slight advantage both offensively and in the bullpen, I will lay the small price with them as road favorites in this one.