Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 8/3/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 3rd at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 55-58 this season after they lost all four against the Braves by scores of 4-5, 2-6, 3-8, and 2-4. In game four, Washington led 2-1 in the fourth inning, but failed to score over the last five innings for the loss. The Nationals recorded four hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Wood, who went 0-3 with one RBI. Cavalli allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Kranick threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to that series, Washington lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Diamondbacks before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.76 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while they have scored 607 runs with a .252 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 28 home runs and 85 RBIs, while James Wood has added 30 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is TBD. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 59-53 this year after they won two out of three against the Orioles by scores of 4-6, 5-0, and 8-0. In game three, Philadelphia scored two runs in the third inning and never looked back in the six inning win due to weather. The Phillies recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by De La Cruz, who went 1-2 with one home run and three RBIs. Wheeler allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 2.0 innings, while Mayza picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, Philadelphia lost all three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 490 runs with a .237 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 33 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 23 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 3-9 with a 5.61 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 114.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
• The favorites have won each of the Nationals’ last six games.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Nationals’ last three games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have won 11 of their last 16 games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Nationals’ last 10 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against the Nationals have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight home games against NL East opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Nationals’ last nine night games against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against the Nationals.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 11 games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Phillies.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (151).
• The Phillies rank 28th in the league for walks this season (331).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (578).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.441).

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 

Washington comes into this matchup on a lengthy losing streak and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Nationals are 32-24 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 28-27 at home. Philadelphia has won two in a row and they have allowed one run or fewer in three of their last five. The Phillies are starting Nola, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five outings, while the Nationals have not announced their starter. I am going to take the Phillies against a slumping Washington team.

David Racey's Pick: Phillies ML