Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 8/24/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 24th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 53-76 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-4 and 4-6. In their game two loss, Washington allowed the first five runs in the game, but they did rally in the last few innings to make it close. The Nationals recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Garcia Jr., who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Washington started Parker, who allowed six hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Ribalta and Pilkington combined for 3.0 scoreless innings. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Mets and split four games with the Phillies. Washington has won three of their last four games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.32 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .270 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 555 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 26 home runs and 83 RBIs, while CJ Abrams has added 17 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 8-8 with a 5.30 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 146.0 innings pitched this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 75-54 this year after they won game two in this series by a score of 6-4 on Saturday night. Philadelphia led 6-1 in the fifth inning, but they failed to score in the last three innings and barely hung on for the win. The Phillies recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Sosa, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Nola, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Duran picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won all three against the Mariners and split four games with the Nationals. Philadelphia has won five of their last six games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 614 runs with a .258 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 45 home runs and 109 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 9-6 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 119.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Nationals 

• The Phillies have won each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have lost nine of their last 11 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday day games against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 road games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Fifteen of the Phillies’ last 20 day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Nationals’ last four road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six day games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Nationals’ last 10 games as road underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryson Stott has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Double in three of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in nine of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against NL opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Paul DeJong has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Phillies.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Phillies.

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this contest playing well over their last five games, but the Phillies are 22 games ahead of Washington in the standings. Washington is 27-37 on the road this year, while Philadelphia is 41-22 at home. The Phillies have scored at least six runs in four of their last five games and they are facing Irvin, who has allowed 12 earned runs and 15 hits in his last two starts. Washington is going against Suarez, who has allowed 2, 6, 5, and 3 earned runs in his last four outings. I am going to fade Irvin and back the Phillies -1.5 here.