New York Mets (44-24) vs Washington Nationals (30-37)
Game Info: Thursday, June 12, 2025 at 1:10 pm (Citi Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets -247 / Washington Nationals +198 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 12th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 30-37 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 4-5 and 0-5. In their game two loss, Washington fell behind in the first inning and never got the offense going in the shutout loss. The Nationals recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Garcia and Wood, who both had two hits in the loss. Washington started Irvin, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Rutledge allowed two hits and one earned run over 2.0 innings in relief.
Prior to this series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Cubs. Washington has lost seven of their last nine games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 279 runs with a .238 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 16 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added nine home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Michael Soroka, who is 3-3 with a 4.86 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 37.0 innings pitched this year.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 44-24 this season after they won game two by a score of 5-0 on Wednesday night. New York led 1-0 after the first inning, and they added two more in the third to pull away in the win. The Mets recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Nimmo and Soto, who both had two RBIs in the win. New York started Peterson, who allowed six hits and zero earned runs in the complete game shutout.
Prior to this series, the Mets swept the Rockies in three games and split four games with the Dodgers. New York has won 10 of their last 12 games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.82 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 315 runs with a .249 batting average and a .331 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 17 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added 14 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 6-3 with a 1.59 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 68.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Mets will beat the Nationals
- The Mets have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Mets following a road loss.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against the Nationals at Citi Field.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Nationals’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Mets’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mets’ last seven home games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mets as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Kodai Senga has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last seven games against NL opponents at Citi Field.
- Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games against NL East opponents at Citi Field.
- Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jesse Winker has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Michael Soroka has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Michael Soroka has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Nationals as underdogs.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Nationals’ last six road games.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
- CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his nine previous appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Paul DeJong has hit at least one home run in five of his last nine road appearances against the Mets.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
Nationals vs Mets Prediction
New York has won the first two games in this series, and they will go for the sweep, as they have been one of the hottest teams over the last two weeks. The Mets are 26-7 at home this year, while the Nationals are 15-19 on the road. Washington has dropped four straight games, and they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Nats are starting Soroka, who has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. The Mets are going with Senga, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight. The Mets have a big advantage on the mound in this game, and I expect another win by at least two runs.