New York Mets (43-24) vs Washington Nationals (30-36)
Game Info: Wednesday, June 11, 2025 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets -225 / Washington Nationals +185 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 11th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 30-36 this season after they lost game one by a score of 5-4 on Tuesday night. Washington led 3-0 and 4-2, but they allowed two runs in the eighth inning and ended up losing in extras. The Nationals recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Abrams and Lowe, who both had two RBIs in the loss. Washington started Gore, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Henry was charged with the loss.
Prior to this series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Cubs. Washington has lost four of their last five games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.88 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 279 runs with a .239 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 16 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added nine home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 5-2 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 78.1 innings pitched this season.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 43-24 this year after they won game one in extra innings by a score of 5-4. New York trailed 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they were able to complete the comeback for the walk-off win in the 10th. The Mets recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Soto and McNeil, who both had two RBIs in the win. New York started Canning, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Garrett picked up the win in relief.
Prior to this series, the Mets swept the Rockies in three games and split four games with the Dodgers. New York has won nine of their last eleven games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.86 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 310 runs with a .249 batting average and a .331 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 17 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added 14 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 4-2 with a 2.80 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 70.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Mets will beat the Nationals
- The Mets have won each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Mets at Citi Field following a loss.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in 11 of their last 12 games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Nationals’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Mets’ last five home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the last 17 games between the Nationals and Mets.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four night games against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Jeff McNeil has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL opponents.
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three games against the Nationals at Citi Field.
- Griffin Canning has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jose Siri has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Pete Alonso ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (17) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Josh Bell has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in each of the Nationals’ last three games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals’ last six games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- MacKenzie Gore has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his eight previous appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- James Wood ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (46).
- The Mets rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (13).
- The Nationals rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.89).
- The Nationals rank 25th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.258).
Nationals vs Mets Prediction
New York was able to stay red hot with another win on Tuesday night to start this series, and they are starting to pull away in the NL East standings. The Mets are 25-7 at home this year, while the Nationals are 15-18 on the road. Washington has lost three games in a row, and they have allowed at least five runs in three of their last five. The Nationals are starting Irvin, who has allowed nine earned runs and 18 hits in his last 10.0 innings. The Mets are starting Peterson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Mets -1.5 in this contest.