Washington (59-84) vs Miami (66-78)
September 9, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami -125 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 9th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 59-84 this year after they won game one by a score of 15-7 on Monday night. Washington led 13-2 in the seventh inning and they picked up an easy win, despite allowing five runs in the last two innings. The Nationals recorded 19 hits in the game and they were led by Bell, who went 4-6 with two home runs and six RBIs in the win. Washington started Cavalli, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Ogasawara allowed five earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Cubs and all three against the Marlins. Washington has won six of their last seven games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.30 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 616 runs with a .245 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 27 home runs and 87 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 19 home runs and 54 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 7-15 with a 5.87 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 145.2 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 66-78 this season after they lost game one by a score of 15-7 last night. Miami tied the game at one in the second inning, but it was all downhill from there in the blowout loss. The Marlins recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Mesa Jr, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Miami started Junk, who allowed eight hits and six earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Soriano allowed four earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Phillies and all three against the Nationals. Miami has lost six of their last seven games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.79 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 623 runs with a .250 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers (IL) has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 19 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Adam Mazur, who is 0-2 with a 5.74 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 15.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Nationals
The Nationals have lost each of their last nine Tuesday night road games.
The Marlins have won four of their last five night games against the Nationals at LoanDepot Park following a home loss.
The Marlins have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against the Nationals following a home loss.
Why the Nationals will beat the Marlins
The Nationals have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
The Marlins have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Marlins following a win.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the last four games between the Nationals and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last 15 Tuesday night games at LoanDepot Park.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Nationals and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Nationals at LoanDepot Park.
Kyle Stowers has recorded two or more hits in each of his last three appearances against the Nationals at LoanDepot Park.
Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
Luis Garcia has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances with the Nationals against NL opponents.
CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Double in each of the Nationals’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Marlins.
Nationals vs Marlins Prediction
Washington picked up another win to start this series on Monday night and they continue to be one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last week. The Nationals are 30-42 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 32-40 at home. Miami has really struggled with their pitching and they are starting Mazur, who has allowed four earned runs in two of his three outings. Washington is going with Parker, who has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five. Take the over in this contest with two shaky starting pitchers.