Washington (37-53) vs St. Louis (48-43)
July 8, 2025 at 07:45 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 8th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 37-53 this year after they lost all three games against Boston by scores of 2-11, 3-10, and 4-6. In their game three loss, Washington allowed four runs in the first inning and they never recovered for the loss. The Nationals recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lile, Garcia Jr., House, and DeJong, who all had one RBI in the loss. Washington started Ogasawara, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 2.2 innings for the loss, while Chafin and Lord allowed one earned run each.
Prior to that series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Tigers and two out of three against the Angels. Washington has lost four of their last six games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.16 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 397 runs with a .247 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 23 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added 13 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 7-3 with a 4.71 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 105.0 innings pitched this year.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 48-43 this season after they lost two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 3-11, 8-6, and 0-11. In their game three loss, St. Louis trailed 8-0 in the third inning and never got their offense going in the blowout loss. The Cardinals recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Contreras, who went 2-3 in the loss. St. Louis started Fedde, who allowed two hits and three earned runs over 1.1 innings for the loss, while Svanson allowed three earned runs in relief.
Prior to that series, the Cardinals lost all three against the Pirates, but did win all three against the Guardians before that. St. Louis has lost five of their last six games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 414 runs with a .251 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Wilson Contreras has led St. Louis with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs, and four stolen bases, while Nolan Arenado has added 10 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 5-4 with a 4.10 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 94.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Nationals
The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
The Nationals have lost five of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
The Cardinals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games following a home loss.
The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.
The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Nationals’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
Seven of the last eight games between the Nationals and Cardinals at Busch Stadium have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight Tuesday night games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games as road underdogs.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
Willson Contreras has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances against the Nationals at Busch Stadium.
Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Alec Burleson has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as favorites.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
Amed Rosario has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction
St. Louis comes into this series with a much better record than Washington has, but the Cardinals are really struggling right now. St. Louis is 26-17 at home this year, while Washington is 19-25 on the road. St. Louis has lost five of their last six games and they have been shutout in four of those five losses. Washington just allowed 27 runs in three games against Boston and they are starting Irvin, who has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. St. Louis is going with Pallante, who has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last 18.0 innings. I know the Cards are struggling, but I like them to get the win by two runs here.