Seattle Mariners (32-27) vs Baltimore Orioles (23-36)
June 5, 2025 at 03:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -170 / Baltimore Orioles +142 — Over/Under: 7.5
Bryan Woo Under 1.5 Earned Runs
Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles 3:40 PM EST
Seattle Mariners right-hander Bryan Woo has been a standout in the team’s rotation. Over 11 starts, he has compiled a 5–2 record with a 2.82 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP across 70.1 innings pitched. Woo has struck out 63 batters while issuing just 9 walks, showcasing exceptional control and efficiency on the mound. His ability to limit baserunners and maintain a low ERA has been instrumental in the Mariners’ success this season. I don’t like this matchup for the Orioles. Their bats have been inconsistent this season, and this game will be played at T-Mobile park, which is one of the more pitcher friendly ballparks in the league.
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Framber Valdez Over 5.5 K’s
Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates 6:40 PM EST
Houston Astros left-hander Framber Valdez has been a reliable presence in the team’s starting rotation. Over 12 starts, he has compiled a 5–4 record with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP across 78.0 innings pitched. Valdez has struck out 73 batters while issuing 24 walks, demonstrating solid control and effectiveness on the mound. After a rough start to the season, Valdez has improved over his last 5 starts. He has a great matchup going against the Pirates, who have one of the worst offenses in the league. I expect him to go deep into this game and rack up a ton of strikeouts.
Max Fried Over 18.5 Outs
New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians 7:05 PM EST
New York Yankees left-hander Max Fried has been a dominant force in the team’s starting rotation. Through 12 starts, he has compiled a 7–1 record with a stellar 1.92 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched. Fried has struck out 70 batters while issuing 16 walks. Fried’s performance places him among the league’s elite, ranking fifth in ERA and tenth in WHIP across the MLB. He’s coming off his worst start of the season, where he allowed 6 earned runs to the Dodgers. I’m not pressing the panic button after that start due to how stacked that Dodgers lineup is. If anything, it makes me love Fried even more in this spot. The Guardians rank in the bottom 10 in almost every major offensive category in the league. Expect Fried to go deep in this one.