Seattle (67-55) vs New York (64-56)
August 15, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York 0.0001 — Over/Under: +8
Sean Manaea Under 5.5 K’s
Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets 7:10 PM EST
After missing the first half of the season due to an oblique strain (and earlier elbow issues), Manaea made his return just before the All-Star break. He has made six appearances, including five starts, for the New York Mets in 2025. He holds a 1–1 win–loss record, with a 4.33 ERA, 30 strikeouts, 27 innings pitched, and a 1.11 WHIP. Recent starts have been tougher. In his latest outing against Milwaukee, he surrendered four earned runs in four innings. We’ve seen Manaea record 5 or fewer K’s in each of his last 4 games. He doesn’t have an easy matchup in this one, going against the Mariners, who’ve been strong at the plate when playing on the road this season.
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Andre Pallante Over 2.5 Earned Runs
New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardnials 8:15 PM EST
Andre Pallante has made 23 starts for the Cardinals this season, compiling a 6–9 record with a 4.95 ERA, and has amassed 80 strikeouts across 123.2 innings pitched. He carries a WHIP of 1.37, ranking around the middle of the league in these categories. Over his most recent stretch of starts, his performance has fluctuated. Across his last 15 games, he posted a 3–7 record with a 5.27 ERA in 80.1 innings, stepping in a bit on the rougher side, while over his last 7 games, his ERA spiked to 6.19 across 36.1 innings. Pallante is just not in good form right now, and I expect the Yankees to take advantage of that.
Tanner Gordon Over 3.5 Earned Runs
Arizona D-Backs vs Colorado Rockies 8:40 PM EST
Tanner Gordon has appeared in 7 games, all as starts, posting a 2–5 win–loss record with an 8.37 ERA over 33.1 innings pitched. During this stretch, he surrendered 55 hits, 31 earned runs, and issued 8 walks, while striking out 22 batters, resulting in a WHIP of 1.89 and a K% of 13.8%. Opposing hitters are racking up an average exit velocity of 91.5 mph, a hard-hit rate of 43.8%, and an expected wOBA (xwOBA) of .381. It has been a rough season so far for Gordon, especially as of late. We’ve seen him give up 6 or more earned runs in each of his last 3 starts, and he is coming off a start where he gave up 10 earned runs to this same D-Backs team.