Atlanta (45-62) vs Cincinnati (57-52)
August 1, 2025 at 12:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati -1.5 — Over/Under: +9
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases
Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds 12:40 PM EST
Elly De La Cruz has been enjoying another standout season in 2025, solidifying his status as one of MLB’s most electrifying young players. In over 415 at-bats in 109 games, he’s slashed .282/.361/.482, producing a solid .843 OPS and an OPS+ of 128, all while tallying 117 hits, 18 home runs, 69 RBIs, and an impressive 29 stolen bases. He has a dream matchup in this series, going against the Braves, who are very thin when it comes to a starting pitching perspective. Bryce Elder takes the mound in this one, and he comes into this one with an ERA over 6 and has given up 3+ earned runs in 8 of his last 10 starts. I wouldn’t be surprised if De La Cruz clears this line in his first at-bat.
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William Contreas Over 1.5 Total Bases
Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals 6:45 PM EST
William Contreras has appeared in 102 games, logging 443 plate appearances, and collected 380 at‑bats, with a .250 batting average, .348 OBP, .363 SLG, and a .711 OPS, right around league average overall but with above-average on-base skills for a catcher. He’s logged 56 runs scored, 95 hits, 19 doubles, 8 home runs, 45 RBIs, and 5 stolen bases. Contreas has logged 2+ bases in 3 straight games and is coming off a game where he logged 8 bases against the Cubs. I love his matchup in this one, going against Mitchell Parker and this horrible Nationals bullpen. The Nationals’ Achilles’ Heel all season long has been their pitching staff, and Contreas should exploit that with his power.
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Totals Bases
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays 7:35 PM EST
Freddie Freeman has put together a strong and consistent offensive season in 2025, appearing in 96 games with 360 at-bats. He comes into this one with a .297 average, drove in 56 runs, hit 11 home runs, and compiled an .840 OPS, ranking him 11th in batting average and 29th in OPS across MLB. He’ll be up against righty Shane Baz, Freeman is batting .316/.389/.498 vs. right-handed pitching compared to .247/.321/.392 vs. lefties. Freeman is coming off a solid series against the Reds, and I like him to carry that momentum into this one. This ballpark in Tampa Bay has been proven to be hitter-friendly, and Shane Baz has just been so inconsistent this season.