Seattle (56-50) vs Oakland (46-62)
July 29, 2025 at 10:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Oakland +1.5 — Over/Under: +10.5
Nick Kurtz Over 1.5 Total Bases
Seattle Mariners vs Athletics 10:05 PM EST
At just 22 years old, Nick Kurtz burst onto the MLB scene with one of the most historic rookie performances in long-term memory. In 67 games (243 at‑bats), he slashed an eye-popping .309/.378/.683 with a 1.061 OPS, belting 23 home runs and driving in 59 runs, figures that tied for 13th in HRs and 36th in RBIs across the majors at the All-Star break. His season milestone came this past weekend in a matchup against Houston, when he became the first rookie in MLB history to hit four home runs in a single game, going 6-for-6 with eight RBIs and tying the all-time record for total bases in a game with 19. That single performance pushed him to lead all rookies in home runs, RBIs, and extra-base hits, cementing his status as a frontrunner for American League Rookie of the Year. He’s one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now, clearing 2+ bases in 9 of his last 10 starts. Until Kurtz slows down, I’ll be looking to put my money on him.
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Roman Anthony Over 1.5 Total Bases
Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins 7:40 PM EST
Roman Anthony made his Major League debut on June 9, 2025, at the age of 21, becoming the youngest Red Sox debutant since Rafael Devers. Over 40 games and 161 plate appearances, he slashed .267/.385/.422 for a solid .807 OPS, collecting 36 hits, 2 home runs, 16 RBIs, 22 runs scored, and 2 stolen bases. Anthony averaged an exit velocity of 94.3 mph, posted an elite 57.4% hard-hit rate, and maintained a 9.6% barrel rate. His .359 wOBA closely aligned with his .360 xwOBA, suggesting his results are firmly supported by the quality of his contact, not fluke outcomes. He’s been hot as of late, logging 2+ total bases in 7 of his last 10 outings. He has a favorable matchup in this going against Chris Paddack, who’s been terrible over the last couple of months.
Vladimir Guerrero Over 1.5 Total Bases
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 12:35 PM EST
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has maintained elite production for the Toronto Blue Jays, compiling a .292 batting average, with 14 home runs, 54 RBIs, 5 stolen bases, and a robust .855 OPS across 398 at-bats and 104 games, ranking him among the league’s top hitters in several categories. He’s logged 70 runs, drawn 62 walks, and struck out just 65 times. He has a .329 average and .909 OPS in July, capped by a 21-game hitting streak in mid-July where he posted a .494 average with 10 home runs, 22 RBIs, and a 1.583 OPS over that stretch. Guerrero is one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now, and I don’t see him slowing down against Morton and this Orioles bullpen.