Chicago (35-65) vs Tampa Bay (52-48)
July 22, 2025 at 07:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay 0.0001 — Over/Under: 0.0001
Kyle Hendricks Over 2.5 Earned Runs
Los Angeles Angels vs New York Mets 7:10 PM EST
Kyle Hendricks has logged 96 innings. He’s recorded a 5–6 record with a 4.88 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and 65 strikeouts. Over his most recent stretches, Hendricks has been fairly inconsistent; he’s carried a 4.88 ERA and 1.29 WHIP across the last 30 games. Hendricks has struggled over his last several starts, giving up 3+ runs in 6 of his last 9 outings. In his start, he gave up 4 earned runs against the Rangers. Now he has to go into Citi Field and play a Mets lineup that has performed very well at home and against right-handed pitching.
Check out Brad’s BEST PICKS, including his $19 PICK OF THE DAY!
Matthew Boyd Under 2.5 Earned Runs
Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs 8:05 PM EST
Matthew Boyd is enjoying a standout 2025 season with the Chicago Cubs, far exceeding expectations and earning his first All-Star selection. In 19 starts spanning 111.2 innings, he’s posted an impressive 10–3 record with a 2.34 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP, and 102 strikeouts, figures that rank him fifth in ERA, tied for fourth in wins, and 12th in WHIP across Major League Baseball. Over his last 30 games, Boyd sports a 2.34 ERA and 1.03 WHIP, including a recent run of seven quality starts in eight outings. Matthew Boyd has re-established himself as a top-tier left-handed starter, mixing consistent command, swing-and-miss ability, and elite contact suppression. He’s up against a Royals offense that’s just been so inconsistent this season. I expect Boyd to have himself another great outing.
Edward Cabrera Over 5.5 K’s
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres 6:40 PM EST
Edward has made 16 starts, going 3–4 with a 3.61 ERA over 82.1 innings, while compiling 86 strikeouts and a 1.26 WHIP. His strikeout rate (24.8%) is above league average, and his walk rate (8.6%) is slightly elevated. Over his last three outings, he recorded a dominant two seven-inning performances (against MIN and MIL) and a shorter four-inning outing in Baltimore. Cabrera has logged 6+ strikeouts in 3 of his last outings and is coming off an 8-strikeout game against the Orioles. Even though this Padres lineup is dangerous, we’ve seen them have games where they strike out at a high rate, and ultimately, they have struggled away from San Diego.