New York (52-39) vs Baltimore (40-49)
July 8, 2025 at 06:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore +1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases
New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles 6:35 PM EST
Pete Alonso has continued to anchor the heart of the Mets’ lineup with another powerful season in 2025. Over 320 at-bats across 85 games, he’s slashed .291/.380/.541, producing a robust .921 OPS and ranking among the top power hitters in the majors. Alonso has launched 18 home runs, driven in 65 runs, and scored 47, adding 24 doubles. Alonso had a strong series against the Yankees, where we saw him homer twice in game 2 of that series. I like him to carry that momentum into this game, going against a Baltimore pitching staff that’s been awful this season.
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CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases
Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardnials 7:45 PM EST
C.J. Abrams has built off his 2024 All-Star campaign to deliver another strong offensive performance in 2025. Across 305 at-bats, he’s hitting .285/.356/.482 for an .838 OPS, accumulating 87 hits, 12 home runs, 31 RBIs, and 59 runs, while stealing 19 bases and drawing 24 walks against 58 strikeouts. Abrams has shown solid performance across splits. He’s been fairly balanced against lefties (.268/.305/.446) and righties (.276/.363/.504). He’ll be going against Andre Pallante, who’s one of the weaker options in this Cardnials rotation coming into this one with a 4.10 ERA. Abrams has been a double machine this season, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he clears this 1.5 line early.
William Contreras Over 1.5 Total Bases
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers 7:40 PM EST
William Contreras has contributed as Milwaukee’s primary catcher, appearing in 78 games with 281 at‑bats. He’s hitting .242/.357/.349 for a .706 OPS, and has tallied 68 hits, including 12 doubles and 6 homers, driving in 34 runs and scoring 41 times. While he’s shown good plate discipline, evidenced by 52 walks against 64 strikeouts, he’s provided moderate power, with a slugging percentage in the .349 range. Even though he has been better against righties than lefties, I think we see Contreras have a strong start against Kershaw. Kershaw has shown signs of progress, but I still think he’s far beyond his prime. Let’s take one of the Brewers’ most consistent hitters to have a solid game.