Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Prediction 9/24/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Rangers Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 23rd at the Globe Life Field in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 79-77 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 47-31 home record and are 69-84 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-4 home defeat by the Marlins, and have seven straight losses. Under is 3-1 in their last 6 games and are playing the Guardians next.

The Rangers have a .236 batting average this season, .305 OBP and .384 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 123 hits, while Josh Jung is the team’s best hitter with a .253 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 74, while Wyatt Langford adds a team-high 22 home runs.

Patrick Corbin (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 7-10 record, 4.33 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 67-89 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 29-46 road record and are 73-73 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-5 home defeat by the Dbacks, and are 1-3 in their last 4 games. Over is 7-5 in their last 12 games and are playing the Phillies next.

The Twins have a .239 batting average this season, .312 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 124 hits, adding team-highs both in RBI, with 76, and in home runs, with 31. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .266 batting average.

Zebby Matthews (R) is the projected starter for the Twins, and he has a 4-6 record, 5.97 ERA and 1.58 WHIP.

Minnesota Twins @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 23, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin      Record this season: 7-10      ERA: 4.33
• Home Record: 3-5
• Last 5 against Twins: 2-2

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last 10 games following a home win.
• The Rangers have won each of their last seven home games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games following a home win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 12 road night games.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in five of their last six games.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zebby Matthews      Record this season: 4-6      ERA: 5.97
• Road Record: 2-4
• Last 5 against Rangers: –

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Rangers’ last eight games at Globe Life Field.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last six games as favorites.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against the Twins following a loss.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rangers’ last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last six home games against AL Central opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Josh Jung has recorded a Double in three of the Rangers’ last four games against AL opponents.
• Patrick Corbin has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 20 home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in four of the Rangers’ last five home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against the Rangers after not playing the previous day.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded a Double in three of the Twins’ last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Byron Buxton ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.541) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.45).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (580).
• The Twins rank 27th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.260).
• The Twins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.67).

Twins vs Rangers Prediction

The Rangers are 3-1 in their last 4 head-to-head meetings against the Twins, but the Twins are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Texas. Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Twins vs Rangers Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -135 home favorites. This one is simple. Only the Rangers need the win in this matchup and are looking to stop the bleeding. They have the better pitcher on the mound in Patrick Corbin, who has an excellent 3.28 home ERA, and goes up against Zebby Matthews, who has a 6.23 road ERA, and has 14 earned runs in his last two starts. Texas has a better bullpen to back Corbin up, so I expect them to get the job done in this crucial game.