Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 8/1/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 26, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Seattle Mariners right fielder Victor Robles (10), left fielder Randy Arozarena (56) and right fielder Luke Raley (20) celebrate their team’s 6-4 win over the Texas Rangers following the ninth inning at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jim Cowsert-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
Team Records
56-55
53-58
Spread
+1.5 -155
-1.5 129
Moneyline
+139
-169
Total
Over 7.5 (100)
Under 7.5 (-120)
Where
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington
When
Saturday, August 1, 2026
Time
04:10 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Minnesota Twins and the Seattle Mariners meet Saturday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Minnesota Twins will send out Connor Prielipp for the start here and Prielipp is 3-5 with a 4.73 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. Logan Gilbert will start for the Mariners and is 8-6 with a 3.44 ERA and 133 strikeouts this season.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their 5-3 win over the Mariners from Friday to sit at 56-55 this season. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for a series rematch against Kansas City.
Twins Win 7 Of Last 9
Going Into Friday, Byron Buxton has 87 hits with 16 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 45 RBIs while Josh Bell’s added 94 hits with 23 doubles, 13 home runs and 63 RBIs. Luke Keaschall has 87 hits with 14 doubles, 4 homers and 30 RBIs. Brooks Lee has 15 home runs with 56 RBIs and Victor Caratini has 36 RBIs while Kody Clemens has 85 hits with 20 doubles, 5 triples, 19 home runs and 53 RBIs this season.
Seattle Mariners Recap
The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Twins on Friday to sit at 53-58 this season. After this series, the Mariners will take on the Seattle Mariners in a series at home.
Mariners Drop 8 Of Last 10
Entering Friday, Luke Raley has 15 home runs and 39 RBIs this season. Cole Young’s added 104 hits with 14 doubles, 3 triples, 13 home runs and 48 RBIs and Cal Raleigh has 46 hits with 7 doubles, 11 home runs and 37 RBIs as well this season. Randy Arozarena has 106 hits with 22 doubles, 13 home runs and 48 RBIs as well on the year. Josh Naylor also has 106 hits with 8 home runs and 38 RBIs as well on the year. Julio Rodriguez has also added 98 hits with 16 doubles, 16 home runs and 46 RBIs.
Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: August 1, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert Record this season: 8-6 ERA: 3.44
Home Record: 7-3
Last 5 against Twins: 2-1
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
The Mariners have won each of their last four day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
The Twins have lost four of their last five day games against AL West opponents following a road win.
The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Saturday day games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Mariners have won the first inning in four of their last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents.
The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games at T-Mobile Park against American League opponents.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Connor Prielipp Record this season: 3-5 ERA: 4.73
Road Record: 0-3
Last 5 against Mariners: 1-0
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
The Mariners have lost each of their last six games as favorites.
The Twins have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Twins have covered the run line in 17 of their last 18 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites following a loss.
The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Mariners’ last six games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Twins’ last seven day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last eight games.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 12 of the Twins’ last 13 road games.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
Randy Arozarena has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Logan Gilbert has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances.
Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 19 of his last 21 appearances with the Mariners as home favorites against AL opponents.
J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Connor Prielipp has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents.
Kody Clemens is one of only nine players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (273).
The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (137).
The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (550).
The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.60).
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction
I’m on the Twins in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but I’m not convinced that even with Logan Gilbert going, that the Mariners should be favored like this against anyone right now. Seattle’s struggled against lefties and I think Prielipp is in a good spot here while Gilbert’s been far less effective at home compared to what we’re used to seeing him be over the last couple of seasons. Give me Minnesota here.
