| MATCHUP | Minnesota Twins | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 55-55 | 53-57 |
| Spread | +1.5 -137 | -1.5 114 |
| Moneyline | +158 | -193 |
| Total | Over 8 (-103) | Under 8 (-117) |
| Where | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington | |
| When | Friday, July 31, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Minnesota Twins and Seattle Mariners meet Friday in MLB action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Pick.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 55-55 on the year and play the Brewers and Royals next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .245 on the season and have a .319 OBP and a .405 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins’ pitching staff has a 4.62 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Josh Bell leads the Minnesota Twins with 94 hits and 63 RBI, while Byron Buxton and Brooks Lee have combined for 181 hits and 101 RBI.
Zebby Matthews gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 4-8 with a 5.21 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. This will be Matthews’ second career game against the Seattle Mariners.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 53-57 on the year and play the Rays and Tigers next. The Seattle Mariners are batting .230 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and have a .379 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners’ pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Randy Arozarena leads the Seattle Mariners with 106 hits and 48 RBI, while Cole Young and Josh Naylor have combined for 210 hits and 87 RBI.
Bryce Miller gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 4-5 with a 2.75 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Miller is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Twins have lost each of their last three night games against the Mariners following a home win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against the Mariners following a home win.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last three night games at T-Mobile Park against AL Central opponents.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Twins have won the first inning in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Twins’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mariners’ last seven games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last seven games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Twins’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last three games against the Twins at T-Mobile Park.
- Bryce Miller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances at T-Mobile Park.
- Cole Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight games against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Josh Bell has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Zebby Matthews has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Zebby Matthews has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 13 appearances with the Twins as road underdogs.
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank T29th in the league for doubles this season (135).
- The Mariners rank T29th in the league for doubles this season (135).
- The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.62).
- The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.62).
Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
The Twins are playing the better baseball right now, but I can’t get behind Matthews and his 5.21 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. In his last 19.2 innings, Matthews has allowed 24 hits and 18 earned runs. In 38 innings on the road, Matthews has a 7.58 ERA and a .284 batting average allowed. No thanks. Miller has been strong with a 2.75 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, and he has a 0.95 ERA and a .143 allowed batting average in 28.1 innings at home. If the Mariners are going to get in the playoff conversation, these are games they need to take advantage of. No excuses. Give me the Mariners on Friday night.