San Francisco Giants (45-49) vs Minnesota Twins (53-40)
Game Info: Friday, July 12, 2024 at 10:15 pm (Oracle Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants +110 / Minnesota Twins -130 — Over/Under: 7.5
In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 12th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:
- The Twins recent form and recent player performance
- The Giants recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Francisco
- Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota and San Francisco
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Minnesota and San Francisco
Twins are Gaining on Cleveland
The Minnesota Twins are 53-40 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Minnesota is coming off of a series win against the White Sox, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Twins won two out of three against the Astros, won two out of three against the Tigers, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Minnesota is 8-3 in their last 11 games and they are second in the AL Central, just 4.5 games behind Cleveland.
The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 459 runs with a .255 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .310 with 13 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games.
Giants Look to Bounce Back
The San Francisco Giants are 45-49 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. San Francisco is coming off of a series loss against Toronto, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Giants lost two out of three against the Guardians, won two out of three against the Braves, and won two out of three against the Dodgers. San Francisco is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the NL West.
The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .261 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 415 runs with a .244 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .241 with 13 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Giants this season. San Francisco has allowed at least five runs in four of their last five games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 6-5 with a 3.29 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 109.1 innings pitched this year. Ryan has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Kyle Harrison, who is 4-4 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 80.2 innings pitched this season. Harrison allowed four earned runs and four hits over 3.1 innings against Cleveland in his last start, which was his first start since going on the IL after his June 10th outing.
Why the Twins will beat the Giants
- The Giants have lost each of their last seven Friday night home games against American League opponents.
- The Twins have won four of their last five road games.
- The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Giants’ last nine games.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Twins’ last five games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Giants’ last four games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Twins and Giants.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Michael Conforto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against the Twins.
- Michael Conforto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Twins.
- Tom Murphy has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Michael Conforto has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three home appearances against the Twins.
- Jorge Soler has recorded at least one Double in four of the Giants’ last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Casey Schmitt has hit a home run in each of the Giants’ last two home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances at Oracle Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in each of the Twins’ last five night games.
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Giants.
- Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances.
- Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his 12 previous Friday appearances in night games.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Giants.
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances.
Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
The Twins come into this series looking to draw closer to the Guardians in the AL Central and they have been playing very well over the last few weeks. Minnesota is 26-22 on the road this season, but the Giants are 26-21 at home. San Francisco finds themselves in fourth place of the NL West and their pitching staff is just 25th in team ERA on the season. The Giants are starting Harrison, who is just an average pitcher and didn’t look comfortable in his last start. The Twins are going with Ryan, who has some very good numbers on the season, but they are just 3-4 in his last seven starts. I don’t trust Harrison to navigate through this Minnesota lineup, so my Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for the Twins to get the win.