San Diego Padres (71-55) vs Minnesota Twins (70-55)
Game Info: Wednesday, August 21, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Petco Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -122 / Minnesota Twins +103 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Minnesota Twins and the San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Minnesota Twins will be starting Simeon Woods-Richardson here and Woods-Richardson is 4-3 with a 3.77 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. This will be Woods-Richardson’s first career start against the Padres. The San Diego Padres will start Matt Waldron here and Waldron is 7-10 with a 4.29 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season. This will be Waldron’s first career start against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this one looking to avoid the sweep after taking the L in the first two games of the series following a 7-5 loss in Tuesday’s matchup, and the series loss for the Twins means that their series win streak is done after knocking off the Royals and Rangers in the last week and a half.
Twins Trying To Sneak Up On Guardians In AL Central
Willi Castro leads the Twins at the dish with 115 hits including 27 doubles and 5 triples as well as 48 RBIs and 12 stolen bases. Ryan Jeffers has a team-high 20 home runs, 59 RBIs and 18 doubles with a .233 batting average and .313 OBP. Carlos Santana has 18 home runs with 55 RBIs while Carlos Correa has 13 home runs, 47 RBIs and 16 doubles. Jose Miranda has 26 doubles and Castro has a team-high 124 strikeouts so far this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Padres have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have won seven of their last eight day games following a road loss.
- The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres will try to complete the sweep of the Twins after taking Tuesday’s matchup. The series win for the Padres keeps the ball rolling as the hottest team in baseball in the second half of the season and helps the Padres bounce back from their series loss in Colorado this past weekend.
Padres Trying To Catch Dodgers At NL West Peak
Jurickson Profar has 127 hits along with a .291 batting average and 22 doubles with 19 homers and 73 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 72 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 19 home runs and 71 RBIs but also has 95 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and a team-high 22 stolen bases.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have lost 16 of their last 18 road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents.
Twins vs. Padres Prediction
I’m on the over in this one. I’m not loving the form of either starting pitcher in this one, and I think that both teams can put up some runs early and often. I do like where both of these bullpens are at, but I think that’s giving us value on the over here with a low total. Give me the over in this one.