San Diego Padres (69-53) vs Minnesota Twins (68-53)
Game Info: Monday, August 19, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Petco Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -160 / Minnesota Twins +135 — Over/Under: 7
The Minnesota Twins and the San Diego Padres meet Monday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Minnesota Twins will send out Zebby Matthews for the start here and Matthews is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Matthews’ first career start against the Padres. Michael King will get the start for the Padres here and is 10-6 with a 3.19 ERA and 161 strikeouts this season. This will be King’s second career start against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins will try to keep the momentum going after winning their series with the Texas Rangers despite a 6-5 loss in Sunday’s series finale. The series win over Texas keeps Minnesota’s series unbeaten streak alive after taking out the Royals to start the week and earning a split with the Guardians the weekend prior.
Twins Trying To Overtake In AL Central
Willi Castro leads the Twins at the dish with 115 hits including 27 doubles and 5 triples as well as 47 RBIs and 12 stolen bases. Ryan Jeffers has a team-high 19 home runs, 57 RBIs and 18 doubles with a .231 batting average and .311 OBP. Carlos Santana has 18 home runs with 55 RBIs while Carlos Correa has 13 home runs, 47 RBIs and 16 doubles. Jose Miranda has 26 doubles and Castro has a team-high 121 strikeouts so far this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Twins have won five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Twins and Padres.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to rebound from a series loss to the Colorado Rockies after falling short in Sunday’s rubber match with the Rox thanks to a 3-2 defeat. The series loss snapped the Padres’ run in the second half of the season so far after series wins over the Pirates and Marlins in the last two weeks.
Padres Trying To Sneak Up On Dodgers Atop NL West
Jurickson Profar has 127 hits along with a .291 batting average and 22 doubles with 19 homers and 73 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 72 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 19 home runs and 71 RBIs but also has 95 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and a team-high 22 stolen bases.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last 10 night games after playing the previous day.
- The Twins have lost 14 of their last 16 road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m looking at the under in this one. Michael King’s been on a roll as of late with a sub-2.00 ERA in his last seven starts, while Zebby Matthews looked really good in his debut and had a sub-2.00 ERA of his own across multiple minor-league levels this season. I also think this total is telling that it’s this low considering Matthews only has one start under his belt, and both bullpens have been lights out over the last week as well so give me the under here.