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Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Prediction 7/3/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Jun 27, 2026; Boston, Massachusetts, USA;  New York Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole (45) pitches during the second inning against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-Imagn Images

Jun 27, 2026; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; New York Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole (45) pitches during the second inning against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Minnesota Twins New York Yankees
Team Records 42-46 48-38
Spread +1.5 -131 -1.5 109
Moneyline +153 -186
Total Over 9.5 (-118) Under 9.5 (-102)
Where Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
When Friday, July 3, 2026
Time 07:05 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV
The Minnesota Twins and the New York Yankees will meet on Friday night in the opening game of a three‑game American League series at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins enter Friday’s contest with a 42–46 overall record (3rd in the American League Central) and a 20–23 mark on the road. The Twins offense has been competitive to this point in the season. Through 88 games played in 2026, Minnesota has compiled 429 runs scored (6th in MLB), 139 doubles, a .246 team batting average and 110 home runs which ranks tenth in Major League Baseball.

The Twins arrive at Friday’s game in good form. Minnesota has won three of the team’s last four games played this season, including a 5–4 victory over the Houston Astros earlier this week.

Minnesota will turn to right hander Mike Paredes in this contest. In four starts made this season, Paredes has compiled an 0–1 win‑loss record, a 4.26 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP and 13 strikeouts, while allowing 23 hits and 9 walks in 25.1 innings pitched. Paredes will look to continue his steady early season performance in tomorrow’s matchup with the New York Yankees.

Shifting our focus to the Twin offense, the Minnesota lineup features outfielder Byron Buxton and designated hitter Josh Bell. Byron Buxton arrives at this contest with a .268 batting average, 25 home runs (4th in MLB), 43 RBIs, 22 walks, 7 stolen bases and a .898 OPS. Josh Bell has tallied a .244 batting average, 11 home runs, 56 RBIs (14th in MLB) and a .713 OPS.                                                                                               

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees enter Wednesday night’s matchup with a 48–38 overall record (2nd in the American League East) and a 22–18 mark at home. New York arrives at this contest in subpar form. The Yankees have lost seven consecutive games, including a 5–4 loss to the Boston Red Sox last week.

New York will start right hander Gerrit Cole in this game. In seven starts made this season, Cole has compiled a 2-3 record, a 4.06 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP and 34 strikeouts, while allowing 36 hits and 10 walks in 37.2 innings pitched. Gerrit Cole has struggled recently, allowing four of more earned runs in two straight starts made in 2026.

The New York Yankees lineup features second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. and first baseman Ben Rice. Chisolm Jr. enters this contest with 12 home runs, 10 doubles, 33 walks, 33 RBIs, 23 stolen bases and a .721 OPS. Ben Rice has compiled a .269 batting average, 54 RBIs (18th in MLB), 23 home runs (4th in MLB) and a .922 OPS which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball.                                          

Why the Minnesota Twins will win.

• Offensive upside. Byron Buxton and Josh Bell continue to anchor the Minnesota Twins lineup.

• Starting pitching. In four starts made this season, Mike Paredes has compiled an 0–1 win‑loss record, a 4.26 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP and 13 strikeouts in 25.1 innings pitched

• Current form. The Minnesota Twins have won three of the team’s last four games.  

Why the New York Yankees will win.

• Starting pitching. In seven starts made this season, Gerrit Cole has compiled a 2-3 record, a 4.06 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP and 34 strikeouts in 37.2 innings pitched.  

• Home field edge. New York has played competitive baseball (22-18) at Yankee Stadium this season.

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Prediction

In my view, the way to go in this contest is the total rather than a side. New York starting pitcher Gerrit Cole has been inconsistent lately, allowing four or more earned runs in two consecutive starts, while Minnesota hurler Mike Paredes has also struggled at times amassing a 4.26 ERA in four starts made in 2026. I see a game where both starting pitchers have issues limiting offensive production. With that said, I am backing over 8.5 runs in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Over 8.5

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