Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 8/9/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Connor Prielipp for the start here and Prielipp is 3-5 with a 4.75 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Jacob Misiorowski will start for the Brewers and is 11-5 with a 1.63 ERA and 195 strikeouts this season.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-3 loss at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers last time out to sit at 58-60 this season. After this series, the Twins will head home for a set against the Baltimore Orioles.

Twins Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Byron Buxton has 87 hits with 16 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 45 RBIs while Josh Bell’s added 104 hits with 24 doubles, 15 home runs and 68 RBIs. Luke Keaschall has 95 hits with 15 doubles, 6 homers and 34 RBIs. Brooks Lee has 98 hits with 17 doubles, 3 triples, 16 home runs and 60 RBIs and Victor Caratini has 37 RBIs while Kody Clemens has 88 hits with 20 doubles, 5 triples, 19 home runs and 53 RBIs this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their win over Minnesota from Saturday to improve to 73-44 this season. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a game against the San Diego Padres.

Brewers Win 4 Of Last 5

William Contreras has 110 hits with 17 doubles, 11 home runs and 58 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 115 hits with 26 doubles, 3 triples, 16 homers and 72 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 93 hits with 16 doubles, 20 home runs and 65 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 65 hits with 4 home runs and 34 RBIs this season. Garrett Mitchell has 86 hits with 24 doubles and 50 RBIs this season. 

Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: August 9, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski      Record this season: 11-5      ERA: 1.63
• Home Record: 6-1
• Last 5 against Twins: 1-0

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Twins have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Brewers have won 15 of their last 17 games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in each of their last six games against National League opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Connor Prielipp      Record this season: 3-5      ERA: 4.75
• Road Record: 0-3
• Last 5 against Brewers: 0-1

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The road team has won 11 of the last 14 games between the Twins and Brewers.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last 11 games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Brewers’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Twins’ last five day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last eight games against National League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Brewers’ last nine day games against AL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Jacob Misiorowski has recorded 10+ strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Twins.
• Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (195) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Luke Keaschall has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two day games.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (107).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (482).
• The Twins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.60).
• The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (584).

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m on the Brewers here. I think this is a big time starting pitching mismatch with Misiorowski over Prielipp and when Miz has been on the mound at home, the Brewers usually take care of business and more often than not, do so by multiple runs. give me the Brewers big here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Milwaukee -245