| MATCHUP | Minnesota Twins | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 57-59 | 72-43 |
| Spread | +1.5 -168 | -1.5 139 |
| Moneyline | +141 | -171 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-118) | Under 7.5 (-102) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Friday, August 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 57-59 on the year and play the Phillies and Orioles next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .243 on the season, with a .317 OBP and a .405 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins’ pitching staff has a 4.62 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Josh Bell leads the Minnesota Twins with 100 hits and 65 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Brooks Lee have combined for 192 hits and 93 RBI.
Zebby Matthews gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 4-8 with a 5.22 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. This will be Matthews’ second career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 72-43 on the year and play the Padres and Dodgers next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .253 on the season, have a .336 OBP, and have a .398 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 113 hits and 70 RBI, while William Contreras and Jackson Chourio have combined for 203 hits and 103 RBI.
Shane Drohan gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 6-4 with a 3.48 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. This will be Drohan’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won 15 of their last 16 games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have lost seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Twins and Brewers at American Family Field.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won eight of their last 12 games as road underdogs following a win.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five night games against the Twins at American Family Field following a win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last seven games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Twins’ last nine night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Twins’ last nine games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last five night games at American Family Field.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jake Bauers has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Shane Drohan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Luke Keaschall has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 12 games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (475).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.44).
- The Twins rank 23rd in the league for walks allowed this season (422).
- The Twins rank 23rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.251).
Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Drohan is off to a solid MLB career, with a 3.48 ERA and 1.17 WHIP through 88 innings, and the Brewers continue to pile up wins. The Twins have had issues with consistency and winning on the road, and Matthews has a 5.22 ERA and 1.31 WHIP through 81 innings. In 43 innings on the road, he has a 7.33 ERA and a .276 batting average allowed. Matthews has allowed 28 hits and 21 earned runs in his last 24.2 innings. No thanks. You can argue this price should be in the -200 range. I’ll gladly take the Brewers at this price point.