Minnesota (49-52) vs Los Angeles (59-43)
July 23, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Los Angeles -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 23, at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins (49-52, 21-32 Away) concluded the first half with three straight series victories, but lost the first one in the second half against the Rockies. The Twins also lost Game 1 of the current series against the Dodgers, but responded with a 10-7 victory on Tuesday. Royce Lewis and Christian Vasquez led the offense with three RBI apiece, while Simeon Woods-Richardson pitched for 3.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on two hits with two strikeouts and five walks. Brock Stewart was credited with the win.
This year, the Twins average 4.21 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .242/.312/.403 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 4.14 ERA (21st) and 1.25 WHIP (11th). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .290 batting average, 23 home runs, and 58 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Twins is Chris Paddack, who is 3-9 in 20 starts this season, with a 5.14 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 105.0 innings.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (59-43, 34-21 Home) were swept by the Milwaukee Brewers for the second time in two weeks, but answered with a win against the Twins in Game 1 before losing 10-7 last night. Andy Pages led the offense with three RBI, while Yoshinobu Yamamoto pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs (one earned) on five hits with eight strikeouts and one walk. Ben Casparius took the loss.
This season, the Dodgers average 5.30 runs per game (1st in the MLB) on a .254/.328/.445 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 4.28 ERA (23rd) and 1.32 WHIP (21st). Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with a .274 batting average, 36 home runs, and 69 RBI this season.
Tyler Glasnow will take the mound for the Dodgers on Wednesday. The 31-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in seven starts this year with a 3.10 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 29.0 innings.
Why the Dodgers will cover
The Dodgers have won each of their last seven games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
The Twins have lost each of their last five games against the Dodgers following a win.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 16 day games following a win.
The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last four games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
Four of the Dodgers’ last five day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Twins’ last five day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of the Dodgers’ last 16 home games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four day games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (156).
The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (366).
The Twins rank 23rd in the league for walks this season (298).
The Twins rank 23rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.251).
Twins vs Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last six. In six of those seven H2H victories, the Dodgers managed to cover a -1.5 run line, and I am backing them to do it again here. Chris Paddack is not playing well in the last two months; he allowed multiple runs in each of his previous eight starts, while he surrendered 11 runs in his last two. I am sure the best offense in the league will have no trouble against Paddack. Tyler Glasnow, on the other hand, allowed just one run in his two starts in July, and I think he will dominate the Twins in a quality start on Wednesday. Back the Dodgers to win and cover.