Minnesota (48-51) vs Los Angeles (58-42)
July 21, 2025 at 10:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Los Angeles -1.5 — Over/Under: +9
In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 21, at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins (48-51, 20-31 Away) concluded the first half with three consecutive series wins, but lost the opening in the second half to the Colorado Rockies on the road. The Twins at least managed to avoid getting swept after winning Game 3 on Sunday, 7-1. Matt Wallner and Royce Lewis led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Joe Ryan got the win after allowing one run on five hits with 11 strikeouts and no walks across 7.0 innings of work.
This year, the Twins average 4.23 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .242/.311/.403 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 4.13 ERA (21st) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .289 batting average, 22 home runs, and 57 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Twins is David Festa, who is 3-3 in nine starts this season, with a 5.25 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 48.0 innings.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (58-42, 33-20 Home) were swept by the Milwaukee Brewers for the second time in two weeks. Following a three-game series loss in Milwaukee, the Dodgers lost all three to the Brewers in Los Angeles. They were close to avoiding a sweep, but fell short 8-7 in Game 3 on Sunday. Shohei Ohtani led the offense with two RBI, while Clayton Kershaw pitched for 4.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs (one earned) on five hits with two strikeouts and one walk. Lou Trivino took the loss.
This season, the Dodgers average 5.30 runs per game (1st in the MLB) on a .254/.329/.443 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 4.30 ERA (23rd) and 1.32 WHIP (21st). Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with a .275 batting average, 34 home runs, and 65 RBI this season.
Shohei Ohtani will take the mound for the Dodgers on Monday. The 31-year-old right-hander has a 0-0 record in five starts this year with a 1.00 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in 9.0 innings.
Why the Dodgers will cover
The Dodgers have won each of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents.
The Twins have lost each of their last four games following a road win.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games following a road win.
The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six Monday night games against American League opponents.
The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Six of the Twins’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Dodgers’ last five home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last nine Monday games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (510).
The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (359).
The Twins rank 26th in the league for steals this season (48).
The Twins rank 22nd in the league for hits this season (801).
Twins vs Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. In seven of those eight wins, the Dodgers covered the 1.5 run line, and following a disappointing series against the Brewers, I am backing them to beat the Twins and cover. Shohei Ohtani will likely get two or three innings on the mound, which should be enough for the Dodgers to take a lead against David Festa, who allowed multiple runs in seven of his previous eight starts. The Dodgers have a favorable matchup here and should be good enough to win by at least a two-run margin.