Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB Picks 9/8/24

David Racey

2 years ago

Kansas City Royals (78-65) vs Minnesota Twins (76-66)

Game Info: Sunday, September 8, 2024 at 2:10 pm (Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals -115 / Minnesota Twins -105 — Over/Under: 8.5

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 8th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

The Twins recent form and recent player performance
The Royals recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Kansas City
Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota and Kansas City
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Minnesota and Kansas City

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 76-66 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Minnesota has lost the first two games in this series and they have scored a total of two runs. Prior to this series, the Twins split four games with the Rays, won two out of three against the Blue Jays, and lost all three against the Braves. Minnesota is 4-9 in their last 13 games and they are third in the AL Central.

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 668 runs with a .250 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .235 with 20 home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Twins this season.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 78-65 this season and they have won three games in a row. Kansas City has won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-0 and 4-2. Prior to this series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Guardians, lost all four against the Astros, and won three out of four against the Guardians. Kansas City is just 6-9 in their last 15 games and they are second in the AL Central.

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 679 runs with a .254 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .336 with 30 home runs and 98 RBI’s for the Royals this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 5-3 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 120.2 innings pitched this year. Woods Richardson has allowed seven earned runs in his last two starts (8.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who is 11-7 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 144.0 innings pitched this year. Wacha has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.

Why the Royals will beat the Twins

The Royals have won each of their last nine games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight road games against the Royals following a road loss.
The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Royals’ last nine home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Twins’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last nine games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last five road games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Royals’ last five day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Michael Wacha has recorded a win in 12 of his last 14 appearances with his team as a home favorite .
Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last eight Sunday day games as favorites.
MJ Melendez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last eight games against the Twins at Kauffman Stadium.
Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last 10 appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Vinnie Pasquantino has scored at least one run in six of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 15 appearances with his team as a home favorite.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Carlos Correa has recorded two RBIs in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
Manuel Margot has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Byron Buxton has scored a run in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs against the Royals.
Max Kepler has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four road appearances against AL Central opponents.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances.