Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 9/16/24

In this article, we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 16th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Twins’ recent form and recent player performance 
• The Guardians’ recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland 
• Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota and Cleveland
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Minnesota and Cleveland

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 79-70 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Minnesota is coming off of a series loss against Cincinnati, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Twins won two out of three against the Angels, lost all three against the Royals, and split four games with the Rays. Minnesota is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are third in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Twins’ offense has scored 700 runs with a .249 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .243 with 22 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Twins this season. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 86-64 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Cleveland is coming off of a series split with Tampa Bay, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Guardians swept the White Sox, lost two out of three against the Dodgers, and won two out of three against the Royals. Cleveland is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are first in the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Guardians’ offense has scored 668 runs with a .238 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .272 with 35 home runs and 107 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Pablo Lopez, who is 15-8 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 169.1 innings pitched this year. Lopez has allowed zero earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Matthew Boyd, who is 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 33.0 innings pitched this year. Boyd has allowed one earned run in each of his last four starts. 

Why the Twins will beat the Guardians

• The Twins have won each of their last seven road games following a home win.
• The Guardians have lost eight of their last nine games at Progressive Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six night games at Progressive Field following a win.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against the Twins at Progressive Field following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Guardians’ last six night games against American League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last four games against AL Central opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six road games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three home games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three games against the Twins at Progressive Field.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Double in each of the Guardians’ last five Monday games at Progressive Field.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in 11 of the Guardians’ last 13 games at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians’ last four home games against the Twins.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against the Twins.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last eight games against AL opponents.
• Will Brennan has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• Jose Ramirez ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Correa has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Kyle Farmer has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against the Guardians.
• Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Guardians at Progressive Field.
• Pablo Lopez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• Carlos Correa has scored a run in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Pablo Lopez has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
• Willi Castro has recorded a single in each of the Twins’ last four games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.231).
• The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for hits allowed this season (1145).
• The Minnesota Twins rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (386).
• The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (1347).

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this game after picking up a win against Cincinnati on Sunday, but they have struggled recently and they are trying to hang on to that last AL Wild Card spot. The Twins are 37-37 on the road this year, while the Guardians are 45-27 at home. Cleveland has a four-game lead in the AL Central and they are starting Boyd, who has been pretty good recently but only pitched 4.1 innings in his last start. The Twins are going with Pablo Lopez, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last few weeks. Minnesota is 8-3 in Lopez’s last 11 starts and I like the Twins to win here. 

David Racey's Pick: Twins ML