Chicago (54-36) vs Minnesota (43-47)
July 8, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota +115 — Over/Under: +9
The Chicago Cubs and the Minnesota Twins meet Tuesday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Chicago Cubs will start Shota Imanaga here and Imanaga is 5-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be Imanaga’s second career start against the Twins. Simeon Woods-Richardson will start here and Woods-Richardson is 4-4 with a 4.41 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. This will be Woods-Richardson’s first career start against the Cubs.
Chicago Cubs Recap
The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to build on their 11-0 win over the St. Louis Cardinals last time out to sit at 54-36 on the year. After this series, the Cubs will head on the road for a series against the New York Yankees.
Cubs Win 5 Of Their Last 6
Ian Happ has 75 hits with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 45 RBIs. Kyle Tucker has 95 hits including 18 doubles, 4 triples, 17 home runs and 55 RBIs while Seiya Suzuki also has 91 hits with 22 doubles and 25 home runs and 77 RBIs of his own. Miguel Amaya’s added 9 doubles and 25 RBIs and Pete Crow-Armstrong also has contributed 95 hits, 20 doubles, 4 triples, 23 home runs and 67 RBIs as well this season. Dansby Swanson has added 15 home runs and 42 RBIs, while also having 99 strikeouts and Suzuki has a team-high 102 strikeouts so far this season. Crow-Armstrong also has a team-high 27 stolen bases while Nico Hoerner has 16 stolen bases this season. Tucker’s also added 22 stolen bases while Michael Busch has also chipped in 15 doubles, 3 triples, 18 home runs and 56 RBIs this season.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
The Cubs have won each of their last 11 road games against American League opponents following a home win.
The Twins have lost each of their last six night games after going to extra innings.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games.
The Cubs have covered the run line in four of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
Kyle Tucker has recorded a Double in six of his last seven appearances against the Twins after not playing the previous day.
Seiya Suzuki has hit at least one home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games as road favorites against AL opponents.
Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents.
Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (27) this season.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to rebound from their 7-5 loss at the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays to sit at 43-47 on the year. After this series, the Twins will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at home.
Twins Looking To Rebound After Failing To Complete Sweep
Byron Buxton has 76 hits along with 11 doubles, a team-high 20 home runs and 53 RBIs with 16 stolen bases and 3 triples while Carlos Correa has 73 hits with 14 doubles and Willi Castro has 62 hits with 13 doubles as well. Harrison Bader’s added 10 home runs and 32 RBIs while Buxton’s contributed a team-high 85 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 79 hits, 15 doubles, 6 home runs and 42 RBIs and Trevor Larnach’s chipped in 80 hits with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 39 RBIs as well this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
The Twins have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
The Cubs have lost each of their last four road games against American League opponents following a win.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last six games.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in each of the Twins’ last three games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.
Trevor Larnach has recorded a Double in four of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Seven of the last eight games between the Cubs and Twins have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Cubs’ last five road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
I’m on the Cubs in this one. I just still can’t get there with Woods-Richardson in the starter’s role, and I think the Cubs can get to him here. The Twins still need to prove to me that this success is going to be sustainable long term, and I think the value is on the Cubs and the reasonable line.