| MATCHUP | Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 25-27 | 22-29 |
| Spread | +1.5 -157 | -1.5 130 |
| Moneyline | +130 | -157 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-115) | Under 7.5 (-105) |
| Where | Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts | |
| When | Sunday, May 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Boston Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox have a 22-29 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL East. They have a 8-16 home record and are coming off a 2-4 home defeat against the Twins. They will face the Braves and the Guardians next.
The Red Sox have a .239 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .362 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu is the team’s best hitter with a .289 batting average. Willson Contreras leads the team in RBI with 31, adding a team-high 10 home runs.
Sonny Gray (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 5-1 record, 2.93 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
Minnesota Twins Preview
The Minnesota Twins have a 25-27 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the AL Central. They have a 10-13 away record and are coming off a 4-2 road win against the Red Sox. They will face the White Sox and the Pirates next.
The Twins have a .238 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Byron Buxton is the team’s best hitter with a .262 batting average, also adding a team-high 16 home runs. Josh Bell leads the team in RBI with 30.
Bailey Ober (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins, and he has a 5-2 record, 3.63 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.
Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: May 24, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sonny Gray Record this season: 5-1 ERA: 2.92
- Home Record: 3-0
- Last 5 against Twins: 1-3
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 12 home games against the Twins following a home loss.
- The Twins have lost 15 of their last 20 road games following a road win.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in six of their last seven games following a loss.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against the Twins.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Fenway Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober Record this season: 5-2 ERA: 3.63
- Road Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Red Sox: 2-2
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won each of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last four home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Twins’ last five day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 15 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
- Sonny Gray has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Trevor Story has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Twins.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in eight of the Twins’ last 12 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six Sunday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against the Red Sox.
- Bailey Ober has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
- Byron Buxton ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (189).
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (36).
- The Twins rank 4th in the league for home runs allowed this season (44).
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for strikeouts this season (400).
Twins vs Red Sox Prediction
The Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Red Sox and have won their last four visits in Boston.
In this Twins vs Red Sox Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -150 home favorites. I like the pitching in this matchup, as both pitchers have been very good this season with a combined 5.56 ERA. But Sonny Gray has been almost unhittable for the Red Sox lately and has been elite at home with a 3-0 record and a 1.71 ERA. On top of that, Boston has a superior bullpen, so I expect them to get the job done at home in this one.