Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 3/29/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Mar 18, 2026; Dunedin, Florida, USA; Baltimore Orioles catcher Adley Rutschman (35) singles during the first inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at TD Ballpark. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
Team Records
1-1
1-1
Where
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
When
Sunday, March 29, 2026
Time
01:35 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Minnesota Twins and the Baltimore Orioles meet Sunday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Minnesota Twins will start Bailey Ober here and Ober was 6-9 with a 5.10 ERA and 120 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against the Orioles, Ober is 1-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 26 strikeouts. Shane Baz will start here for Baltimore and was 10-12 with a 4.87 ERA last season. This will be Baz’s second career start against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this one looking to add on to their 4-1 win over the Orioles from Saturday’s matchup to get to 1-1 this season. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for a game against the Kansas City Royals.
Twins Get First W
Byron Buxton has a team-high 3 hits with a triple while Royce Lewis has a home run and three RBIs. Luke Keaschall and Kody Clemens each have a hit with an RBI while Ryan Jeffers, Victor Caratini and Austin Martin all have hits as well so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to shake off Saturday’s loss to the Twins to drop to 1-1 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will take on the Texas Rangers at home.
Orioles Looking To Take Rubber Match
Adley Rutschman and Jeremiah Jackson each have 2 hits with Rutschman logging a double while Colton Cowser has a double as well. Pete Alonso, Samuel Basallo, Tyler O’Neill, Blaze Alexander and Ryan Mountcastle each have a base hit as well on the year.
Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: March 29, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz Record this season: – ERA: –
Home Record: –
Last 5 against Twins: 0-1
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
The Twins have lost eight of their last nine day games following a road win.
The Orioles have won six of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 13 day games against American League opponents following a win.
The Orioles have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents following a home loss.
The Orioles have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against AL Central opponents.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober Record this season: – ERA: –
Road Record: –
Last 5 against Orioles: 1-1
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
The Twins have won each of their last 15 games as underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
The Orioles have lost each of their last 12 games as favorites against the Twins following a home loss.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as home favorites.
The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 15 games as underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Twins’ last 11 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Orioles’ last eight day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six home games against AL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven day games against AL East opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against the Twins.
Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
Pete Alonso ranked 8th in the league in Home Runs (38) last season.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in five of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in day games.
Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
Byron Buxton ranked 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.551) last season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Orioles ranked 27th in the league for strikeouts against last season (1457).
The Orioles ranked 27th in the league for home runs allowed last season (217).
The Twins ranked 4th in the league for walks allowed last season (459).
The Twins ranked 25th in the league for opponent batting average last season (.256).
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction
I’m on the Orioles in this one. I get the case to be made for the Twins off of the win, but the thing is I think Shane Baz is the better starting option and I think it’s only a matter of time before the offense busts open here. Ober was prone to giving up home runs last season and really had issues on the road and I think those carry over into 2026. Give me the Orioles.
