Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 6/25/24

David Racey

1 year ago

Arizona Diamondbacks (38-40) vs Minnesota Twins (43-35)

Game Info: Tuesday, June 25, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)

The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +103 / Minnesota Twins -120 — Over/Under: 7.5

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 25th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

The Twins recent form and recent player performance
The Diamondbacks recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Arizona
Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota and Arizona
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Minnesota and Arizona

Twins Trying to Stay in the AL Central Race

The Minnesota Twins are 43-35 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Minnesota is coming off of a series win against Oakland, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Rays, swept the Athletics in four games, and won two out of three against the Rockies. Minnesota is second in the AL Central, but they are eight games back.

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 367 runs with a .247 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .304 with eight home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored five runs or more in nine of their last eleven games.

Diamondbacks Fighting Back to .500

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 38-40 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Arizona is coming off of a series loss against Philadelphia, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Diamondbacks won two out of three against the Nationals, won two out of three against the White Sox, and won two out of three against the Angels. Arizona is 8-5 in their last 13 games and they are third in the NL West standings.

The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .263 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 368 runs with a .251 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Ketel Marte is batting .277 with 15 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks this season. Arizona has allowed at least four runs in five of their last eight games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 5-5 with a 3.13 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 92.0 innings pitched this year. Ryan has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 3-6 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 90.2 innings pitched this season. Pfaadt has allowed three earned runs or more in four of his last five outings.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will beat the Minnesota Twins

The Diamondbacks have won each of their last three games as home underdogs following a road loss.
The Twins have lost eight of their last 12 games as road favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following a win.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Three of the Twins’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six night games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last three games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Twins.
Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight home games against AL Central opponents.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Joc Pederson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
Randal Grichuk has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs.
Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
Brandon Pfaadt has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in six of his last seven road appearances against NL West opponents.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Max Kepler has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two games as favorites against the Diamondbacks.
Carlos Santana has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL West opponents.
Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances.